Wallet analysis

2026-06-15T12:45:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
73 0x73b7…b421 crypto 1672 markets active 0h ago coverage 22d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 21d only
✗ bot/MM pace (117 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage
Total PnL −$17 (-1%) realized −$17 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -24% what you keep after slip
Net edge-24%after slip
Net WR5%break-even
Win rate88%1463W / 209L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$2per market
Trades / day116.7pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$13
14 days−$17
30 days−$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$49
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (117 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +5%
net ROI/market (all)-11.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 312 -2.4% -11.7% 82% 1% -11.5%
≤30d 1672 -1.6% -11.0% 88% 5% -11.2%
≤90d 1672 -1.6% -11.0% 88% 5% -11.2%
all 1672 -1.6% -11.0% 88% 5% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover116.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.0% 5% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 0% -19.7%
15% -27.3% 0% -27.5%
20% -34.4% 0% -34.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -2% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
90% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -2% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -1% → late -2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$1 · ×0.1 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.69 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

22d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$17
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)88%
Wins / losses1463 / 209
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1672 / 1672
History coverage22d ⚠
Avg bet$2
Trades / day116.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1672 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 15 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -91%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET SELL Down 67¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET SELL Up 96¢ $1 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 14h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records