Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:00:18+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x73bd…b576
sports · 590 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$74 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$61 · open −$13
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$46
Realized−$61
Unrealized−$13
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses289 / 293
Est. fees paid−$54
Open positions8
Markets (closed)582 / 590
History coverage21d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day53.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit90%
Chart Positions 8 History 582 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$34
7 days+$27
14 days+$32
30 days−$61
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets New York Mets 54¢ 92¢ $7 $12 +$5 (+69%)
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Chicago Cubs 47¢ 46¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 Under 56¢ 62¢ $7 $8 +$1 (+10%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Los Angeles Angels 41¢ 40¢ $7 $7 −$0 (-1%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 Over 56¢ 51¢ $7 $6 −$1 (-9%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 48¢ 14¢ $7 $2 −$5 (-72%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 6¢ $7 $1 −$6 (-82%)
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles San Diego Padres 47¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Under 52¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5 Under 58¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5 Over 52¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Pittsburgh Pirates 44¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $7 +$8 +114%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $7 +$6 +88%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $7 +$5 +63%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 13 $7 +$5 +68%
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $7 +$2 +22%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $7 −$2 -29%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $7 +$5 +65%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5 Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $7 −$7 -98%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $7 +$1 +16%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Spread: Seattle Mariners (-1.5) Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $7 +$6 +79%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $7 +$6 +82%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $7 +$3 +47%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $7 +$4 +59%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 5.5 Jun 11 $7 +$8 +106%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $7 +$6 +77%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $7 +$5 +74%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $7 −$4 -58%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $7 +$5 +66%
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? Jun 11 $5 −$2 -34%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5 Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $5 +$4 +69%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 9.5 Jun 11 $7 −$7 -100%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $7 +$3 +42%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $7 +$12 +160%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Athletics: O/U 16.5 Jun 11 $7 +$2 +24%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 11 $7 +$7 +100%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 11 $7 +$7 +104%
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 8.5 Jun 11 $7 +$5 +66%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5 Jun 11 $7 +$8 +109%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $7 +$6 +87%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $7 +$7 +100%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $7 +$6 +82%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $7 +$7 +92%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 10 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 89% −$92
other 10% +$17
world 1% +$6
finance 0% −$4
politics 0% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 93¢ $1 16m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 SELL Under 93¢ $15 16m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 SELL Under 93¢ $1 17m
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 SELL Under 93¢ $13 18m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5 SELL Under 97¢ $12 28m
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians SELL Cleveland Guardians 95¢ $12 28m
Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 97¢ $9 30m
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5 SELL Under 42¢ $5 44m
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 56¢ $7 46m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays SELL Toronto Blue Jays 91¢ $12 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5 BUY Under 42¢ $7 1h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5 BUY Under 58¢ $7 1h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 56¢ $7 1h
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants BUY Chicago Cubs 47¢ $10 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 42¢ $10 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 46¢ $3 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 46¢ $5 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 46¢ $2 1h
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 48¢ $7 1h
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 48¢ $7 1h
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 56¢ $7 1h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 58¢ $7 2h
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 53¢ $7 2h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5 BUY Under 52¢ $7 3h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Cleveland Guardians 55¢ $7 3h
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels BUY Los Angeles Angels 41¢ $7 3h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY New York Mets 54¢ $7 3h
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY San Diego Padres 47¢ $7 4h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? SELL No 95¢ $8 5h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 30¢ $7 10h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-10.1%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 145 +4.6% -5.3% 60% 59% -6.8%
≤30d 582 -0.7% -10.1% 50% 48% -11.1%
≤90d 582 -0.7% -10.1% 50% 48% -11.1%
all 582 -0.7% -10.1% 50% 48% -11.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover53.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.1% 48% -11.1%
10% ← realistic here -18.7% 44% -19.7%
15% -26.6% 40% -27.4%
20% -33.8% 33% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $45.99 · official $44.66 · 1371 history records