Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:56:37+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x73cb…e668
crypto · 1261 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$57 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$204 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$13
Realized−$204
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses586 / 671
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1257 / 1261
History coverage173d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day9.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit74%
Chart Positions 3 History 1257 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$15
7 days+$25
14 days+$25
30 days−$58
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 64¢ 100¢ $5 $8 +$3 (+56%)
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 Over 51¢ 30¢ $5 $3 −$2 (-40%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 57¢ 22¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-61%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 30, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2AM ET Down 17¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Down 8¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Leicester City FC win on 2026-04-11? Yes 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 6AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-01-28? Yes 44¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Aston Villa FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC: Both Teams to Score Yes 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will Deportivo Alavés vs. Getafe CF end in a draw? Yes 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Down 10¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score Jun 14 $5 +$6 +109%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 +$4 +86%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $5 +$6 +109%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +42%
Morocco vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score Jun 11 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET May 18 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET May 18 $14 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET May 18 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET May 18 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET May 18 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12AM ET May 18 $21 +$17 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET May 18 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET May 18 $10 +$4 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12PM ET May 17 $5 −$3 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET May 17 $10 +$3 +24%
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17? May 17 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET May 17 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET May 17 $5 +$3 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET May 16 $21 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1PM ET May 16 $21 −$11 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET May 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12PM ET May 16 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET May 16 $5 +$4 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET May 16 $21 +$6 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10AM ET May 16 $10 +$8 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET May 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-16? May 16 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET May 16 $21 +$5 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9AM ET May 16 $5 −$2 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET May 16 $10 +$3 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET May 16 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET May 16 $10 +$5 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET May 16 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET May 16 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6AM ET May 16 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 12PM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11AM ET May 15 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET May 15 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET May 15 $10 +$6 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET May 15 $10 −$4 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET May 15 $5 +$4 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET May 15 $21 +$10 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5AM ET May 15 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET May 15 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11PM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET May 15 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET May 15 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 12PM ET May 14 $52 +$17 +32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 69% −$228
other 22% −$16
sports 9% +$14
world 0% +$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Australia vs. Türkiye: Türkiye O/U 1.5 BUY Over 51¢ $5 1h
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? BUY Yes 57¢ $5 1h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Switzerland O/U 2.5 BUY Under 53¢ $5 16h
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 64¢ $5 17h
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 47¢ $5 17h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 36h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 36h
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 52¢ $5 2d
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 70¢ $5 2d
Morocco vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 60¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $15 26d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET SELL Up 32¢ $15 26d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $14 26d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $52 26d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 26d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $5 26d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12AM ET SELL Down 73¢ $37 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $21 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET BUY Down 23¢ $5 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET SELL Down 68¢ $14 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12PM ET SELL Down 20¢ $2 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET SELL Down 61¢ $13 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $5 27d
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-05-17? BUY Yes 33¢ $5 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET SELL Down 80¢ $8 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $5 27d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $8 28d
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 28d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-13.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 6 +83.5% +66.0% 100% 100% +66.0%
≤30d 46 -13.2% -21.5% 54% 50% -21.4%
≤90d 610 -8.5% -17.2% 46% 45% -12.6%
all 1257 -4.9% -13.9% 47% 46% -11.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.9% 46% -11.8%
10% -22.2% 45% -20.2%
15% -29.7% 43% -27.9%
20% -36.6% 39% -35.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.77 · official $12.77 (match) · 2042 history records