Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:57:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x73cc…c092
sports · 125 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$51 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$51 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$15
Realized−$51
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)34%
Wins / losses41 / 81
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions3
Markets (closed)122 / 125
History coverage6d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day46.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit80%
Chart Positions 3 History 122 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$86
7 days−$51
14 days−$51
30 days−$51
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) FUT Esports 46¢ 46¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 Over 29¢ 28¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Switzerland 58¢ 57¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner KT Rolster 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down on June 11? Up 12¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Over 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: BOMBA Team vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D BOMBA Team 39¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Map Handicap: XLG (-1.5) vs Dragon Ranger Gaming (+1.5) XLG Gaming 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Golden Knights 41¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Dota 2: summer bear vs Team Bald - Game 2 Winner summer bear 43¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Team Falcons 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Libema Open: Nikola Bartunkova vs Hanne Vandewinkel Nikola Bartunkova 33¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 27¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Rainbow Six Siege: Spacestation Gaming vs For Fun Esports (BO1) - North America League Stage 1 Group Stage Spacestation Gaming 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? Jun 13 $5 $0 -6%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $5 −$3 -53%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 $0 -4%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $15 +$2 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +83%
Spread: Germany (-3.5) Jun 13 $5 $0 -5%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$4 +84%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $25 −$20 -81%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$11 +85%
Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - South A Jun 12 $5 −$3 -64%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $10 +$2 +19%
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 Jun 12 $5 −$2 -45%
Dota 2: summer bear vs Team Bald - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $4 −$4 -98%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 $0 -8%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 −$5 -53%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $10 −$5 -49%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -97%
Valorant: EDward Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - VCT Masters London Play Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 12 $10 −$1 -9%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Spirit (-3.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+3.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 -4%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +86%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $25 +$20 +81%
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 3? Jun 12 $5 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -11%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 12? Jun 12 $10 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -9%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $5 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12? Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -97%
Rainbow Six Siege: Titan Esports Club vs One Coin - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $5 −$2 -48%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$9 +84%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $5 +$2 +43%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 12 $5 +$4 +79%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5 Jun 11 $10 −$5 -51%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 11 $5 −$5 -98%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $5 +$3 +62%
Mexico leading at halftime? Jun 11 $5 +$6 +114%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $5 −$1 -10%
Ethereum above 1,670 on June 11, 5PM ET? Jun 11 $4 +$7 +161%
Will Bitcoin reach $64,000 on June 11? Jun 11 $4 $0 -7%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $5 +$3 +54%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 50% −$25
other 24% −$27
crypto 23% +$7
world 2% −$6
finance 1% $0
weather 1% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 58¢ $5 3m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 29¢ $5 3m
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 46¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? SELL Up 41¢ $5 5m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo SELL F5 Esports 26¢ $2 5m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) SELL Switzerland 57¢ $5 5m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 58¢ $5 5m
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo BUY F5 Esports 54¢ $5 55m
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) BUY Switzerland 58¢ $5 55m
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 100¢ $8 57m
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 59¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 1h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) SELL Germany 46¢ $5 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13? BUY Up 42¢ $5 2h
Spread: Germany (-3.5) BUY Germany 47¢ $5 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 67¢ $5 2h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 57¢ $5 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 66¢ $5 2h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $5 2h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 67¢ $5 3h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 58¢ $5 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $5 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET SELL Up 12¢ $5 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $25 3h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $12 3h
Rainbow Six Siege: Black Dragons e-Sports vs Fluxo W7M (BO1) - South A SELL Black Dragons e-Sports 19¢ $2 3h
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 1.5 SELL Over 66¢ $5 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 SELL Yes 22¢ $3 3h
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14 BUY Yes 40¢ $5 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +32%
net ROI/market (all)-17.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 122 -9.3% -17.9% 34% 32% -14.8%
≤30d 122 -9.3% -17.9% 34% 32% -14.8%
≤90d 122 -9.3% -17.9% 34% 32% -14.8%
all 122 -9.3% -17.9% 34% 32% -14.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.9% 32% -14.8%
10% ← realistic here -25.8% 28% -22.9%
15% -32.9% 25% -30.4%
20% -39.5% 21% -37.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $14.99 · official $15.11 (match) · 294 history records