Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:02:55+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x73d1…0db8
crypto · 67 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$19 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$18 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$53
Realized−$18
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses29 / 24
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions14
Markets (closed)53 / 67
History coverage2d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day46.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit79%
Chart Positions 14 History 53 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$18
14 days−$18
30 days−$18
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 47¢ 48¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 58¢ 58¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? Yes 60¢ 60¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? Yes 88¢ 88¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will France win on 2026-06-16? Yes 67¢ 66¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14? Yes 58¢ 57¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 17¢ 17¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-1%)
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 8¢ 8¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes 39¢ 35¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-10%)
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 11¢ 10¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-11%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 96¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Switzerland to score first vs. Qatar? Yes 85¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+18%)
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 16¢ 16¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-0%)
Exact Score: Qatar 0 - 3 Switzerland? Yes 15¢ 5¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-66%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 78¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$10 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$3 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $36 −$22 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$3 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $30 +$6 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $36 +$10 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $35 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$7 -64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 13 $31 +$14 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
Will SpaceX’s opening share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $5 +$3 +59%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $2 +$5 +256%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$9 +173%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$4 +83%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +90%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$6 +110%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 12 $5 −$5 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $5 +$2 +44%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 84% −$11
other 9% −$4
sports 3% −$6
politics 1% −$1
finance 1% +$3
tech 1% $0
world 1% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 49¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 59¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 46¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET SELL Up 73¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Up 72¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-12.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 53 -3.4% -12.6% 55% 45% -13.2%
≤30d 53 -3.4% -12.6% 55% 45% -13.2%
≤90d 53 -3.4% -12.6% 55% 45% -13.2%
all 53 -3.4% -12.6% 55% 45% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.6% 45% -13.2%
10% ← realistic here -21.0% 42% -21.5%
15% -28.6% 34% -29.1%
20% -35.6% 26% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $52.54 · official $52.54 (match) · 143 history records