Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:47:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x73d8…3c0c
crypto · 665 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$73 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$461 · open +$4
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$83
Realized−$461
Unrealized+$4
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses370 / 285
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions10
Markets (closed)655 / 665
History coverage22d
Avg bet$17
Trades / day53.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 10 History 655 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$375
7 days−$467
14 days−$374
30 days−$461
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 77¢ 81¢ $50 $53 +$3 (+6%)
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? Yes 71¢ 70¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-1%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? Yes 77¢ 76¢ $6 $6 −$0 (-2%)
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-27? Yes 46¢ 46¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-21? Yes 57¢ 56¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-3%)
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 31¢ 32¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+5%)
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-14? Yes 48¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 16¢ 25¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+56%)
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 15? Yes 29¢ 36¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+26%)
Will Algeria vs. Austria end in a draw? Yes 31¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$7 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$4 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $41 $0 -1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$5 -13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$10 +49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$4 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $62 +$1 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$5 +27%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$20 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$20 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $79 −$36 -46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $103 −$46 -45%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $104 −$50 -48%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$14 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$11 -28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$4 -11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$6 -14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$7 -17%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $41 −$20 -49%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$4 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$3 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $106 +$4 +4%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $5 +$3 +55%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 14 $103 +$61 +60%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 14 $105 −$72 -68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 14 $52 −$50 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 14 $51 +$22 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 14 $51 +$8 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +14%
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Jun 14 $5 +$14 +276%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 14 $102 +$29 +29%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Jun 14 $101 −$100 -99%
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 13? Jun 13 $1 +$4 +406%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$15 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$8 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$19 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $100 +$6 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$13 +13%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$18 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $78 +$17 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$9 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$29 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$19 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $51 −$35 -68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$8 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$31 +31%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $101 −$100 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $103 −$100 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 13 $101 +$16 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $102 +$31 +31%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$393
other 1% −$57
sports 1% −$14
weather 0% +$6
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $51 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $27 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $20 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 90¢ $25 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $20 11m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Down 97¢ $25 13m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET SELL Up 22¢ $16 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 27¢ $21 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $20 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $30 17m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET SELL Down 22¢ $6 18m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $20 19m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $20 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET SELL Down 94¢ $31 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $21 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $24 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $20 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $36 52m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Down 35¢ $12 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $21 53m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET SELL Up 47¢ $15 55m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $21 56m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $21 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET SELL Up 87¢ $26 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $20 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $39 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $21 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $53 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 202 -7.2% -16.0% 50% 44% -15.9%
≤30d 655 -5.4% -14.4% 56% 51% -13.4%
≤90d 655 -5.4% -14.4% 56% 51% -13.4%
all 655 -5.4% -14.4% 56% 51% -13.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover53.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 51% -13.4%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 44% -21.7%
15% -30.1% 35% -29.2%
20% -36.9% 24% -36.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $82.58 · official $63.10 · 1215 history records