Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T03:00:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x73e4…fb79
crypto · 1716 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$181 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$182 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$145
Realized−$182
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses687 / 576
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1263 / 1716
History coverage4d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day740.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 1263 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$259
7 days−$182
14 days−$182
30 days−$182
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Even 99¢ 50¢ $29 $14 −$14 (-49%)
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills? Even 99¢ 50¢ $29 $14 −$14 (-49%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 99¢ 96¢ $15 $14 −$1 (-4%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $11 $11 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Exact Score: Cambodia 0 - 2 Hong Kong SAR? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Exact Score: Cambodia 2 - 1 Hong Kong SAR? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Cambodia 0 - 0 Hong Kong SAR? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Any Other Score? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Cambodia 3 - 0 Hong Kong SAR? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Cambodia 1 - 0 Hong Kong SAR? No 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: Cambodia 2 - 0 Hong Kong SAR? Yes 100¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 2¢ 18¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+775%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
BNB Up or Down - May 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 99¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+1%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Jun 14 $29 −$14 -50%
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills? Jun 14 $29 −$14 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$1 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $11 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$10 +203%
Exact Score: Cambodia 0 - 2 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Exact Score: Cambodia 2 - 1 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Cambodia 0 - 0 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Any Other Score? Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Cambodia 3 - 0 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Cambodia 1 - 0 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Exact Score: Cambodia 2 - 0 Hong Kong SAR? Jun 14 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - May 28, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - May 26, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - May 27, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -400%
Game 3: Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors? Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 30, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 28, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 27, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$320
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 2¢ $0 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 0m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 1¢ $0 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 10m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 20m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 57¢ $3 21m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 24m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +13%
net ROI/market (all)-13.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1263 -4.5% -13.6% 54% 13% -12.4%
≤30d 1263 -4.5% -13.6% 54% 13% -12.4%
≤90d 1263 -4.5% -13.6% 54% 13% -12.4%
all 1263 -4.5% -13.6% 54% 13% -12.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover740.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.6% 13% -12.4%
10% ← realistic here -21.9% 10% -20.8%
15% -29.4% 7% -28.5%
20% -36.4% 6% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $145.41 · official $142.26 · 3500 history records