Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T21:18:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x73e5…bba6
crypto · 229 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$27 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)84%
Wins / losses193 / 36
Open positions0
Markets (closed)229 / 229
History coverage14d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day16.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit77%
Chart Positions 0 History 229 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days−$26
14 days−$25
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Up 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 94¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -99%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +18%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +46%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +16%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +40%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +19%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +25%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +23%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 73% −$16
other 27% −$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 14m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 24m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 34m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $1 44m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 58m
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 79¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Down 83¢ $1 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $1 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $1 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 6h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 7h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 7h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 152 -1.9% -11.3% 80% 43% -19.8%
≤30d 229 -1.1% -10.5% 84% 33% -14.2%
≤90d 229 -1.1% -10.5% 84% 33% -14.2%
all 229 -1.1% -10.5% 84% 33% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.5% 33% -14.2%
10% -19.1% 17% -22.4%
15% -26.9% 8% -29.9%
20% -34.1% 6% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.69 · official $0.00 (match) · 486 history records