Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T22:40:32+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

73
0x73f4…08c3
sports · 38 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,549 -30%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,549 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,549
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)39%
Wins / losses15 / 23
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$25
Open positions0
Markets (closed)38 / 38
History coverage3d
Avg bet$136
Trades / day37.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 0 History 38 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,598
7 days−$1,549
14 days−$1,549
30 days−$1,549
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? No 12¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks Spurs 46¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Team Falcons 68¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 PARIVISION 67¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Team Falcons 95¢ 0¢ $585 $0 −$585 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Washington Nationals 96¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Marco Trungelliti 78¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Vitality 91¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs Iowa Stormboar 93¢ 0¢ $1,222 $0 −$1,222 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $145 −$82 -56%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $50 −$1 -3%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $20 +$2 +8%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $10 +$1 +12%
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen (BO5) - UKIC Masters Divisi Jun 13 $10 $0 +2%
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 13 $10 −$3 -26%
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? Jun 13 $10 +$2 +16%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $20 −$1 -5%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 $0 +5%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $10 −$4 -42%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Esport Academy Copenhagen (BO3) - ROG Jou Jun 13 $4 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $20 +$3 +14%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $10 +$4 +44%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $586 −$585 -100%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $592 +$31 +5%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 +$4 +19%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $40 −$40 -99%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $191 +$27 +14%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 +$5 +50%
Counter-Strike: Detonate vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 12 $1,224 −$1,222 -100%
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playof Jun 12 $1,039 +$292 +28%
Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Festina Lente - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $20 −$13 -63%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 12 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5) Jun 11 $30 +$20 +64%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $898 +$98 +11%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $41 −$14 -33%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $10 $0 -5%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 11 $10 −$1 -6%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $7 $0 -6%
Libema Open: Caty McNally vs Solana Sierra Jun 11 $10 $0 -2%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $10 −$1 -6%
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $31 −$1 -4%
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $10 −$1 -13%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 10 $10 −$10 -98%
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 10 $20 −$20 -100%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 10 $10 −$10 -99%
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $10 −$10 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$1,521
other 2% −$28
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL Spirit 100¢ $50 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 5¢ $0 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY Spirit 89¢ $45 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner SELL 9z 12¢ $13 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 2 Winner BUY 9z 83¢ $101 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL 9z 100¢ $24 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 83¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY 9z 86¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner SELL FURIA 100¢ $22 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 66¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 69¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 80¢ $8 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 95¢ $10 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner SELL Spirit 69¢ $7 3h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z - Map 1 Winner BUY Spirit 93¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Legacy 100¢ $11 3h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 91¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs FURIA - Map 2 Winner BUY FURIA 94¢ $10 3h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 89¢ $10 4h
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen (BO5) - UKIC Masters Divisi SELL The Last Resort 100¢ $10 4h
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs Dripmen (BO5) - UKIC Masters Divisi BUY The Last Resort 98¢ $10 5h
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 34¢ $8 5h
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026? SELL Yes 41¢ $12 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Legacy 53¢ $0 5h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner SELL MOUZ 100¢ $11 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner SELL Legacy 53¢ $19 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 54¢ $10 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 Winner BUY Legacy 54¢ $10 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner SELL Legacy 57¢ $6 5h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 Winner BUY Legacy 97¢ $10 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +26%
net ROI/market (all)-30.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 38 -23.0% -30.4% 39% 26% -36.6%
≤30d 38 -23.0% -30.4% 39% 26% -36.6%
≤90d 38 -23.0% -30.4% 39% 26% -36.6%
all 38 -23.0% -30.4% 39% 26% -36.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover37.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -30.4% 26% -36.6%
10% ← realistic here -37.0% 11% -42.7%
15% -43.1% 8% -48.2%
20% -48.7% 3% -53.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 116 history records