trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.4% | -9.8% | 0% | 0% | -9.8% |
| ≤30d | 2 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 50% | 0% | -9.4% |
| ≤90d | 2 | +0.2% | -9.4% | 50% | 0% | -9.4% |
| all | 22 | -8.9% | -17.6% | 82% | 5% | -60.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.6% | 5% | -60.7% |
| 10% | -25.5% | 5% | -64.5% |
| 15% | -32.7% | 5% | -67.9% |
| 20% | -39.3% | 5% | -71.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | 99¢ | 99¢ | $10 | $10 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Eric Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Jun 11 | $5 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 24 | $5 | $0 | +1% |
| NVIDIA (NVDA) Up or Down on January 15? | Jan 16 | $170 | −$170 | -100% |
| Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on January 12? | Jan 13 | $93 | +$93 | +100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - December 5, 6AM ET | Dec 08 | $200 | −$200 | -100% |
| Will Scott Stringer win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | Nov 20 | $6 | −$6 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $104K and $105K on May 23? | May 25 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $98000 on May 16? | May 18 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $93000 on May 9? | May 10 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $110k in April? | May 02 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum reach $2200 in April? | May 02 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $85000 and $87000 on Apr 25? | Apr 27 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1400 and $1500 on Apr 25? | Apr 27 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $1300 and $1400 on Apr 18? | Apr 21 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76000 and $78000 on Apr 18? | Apr 21 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $90000 on April 4? | Apr 11 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $130,000 by March 31? | Apr 02 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $78000 on Mar 28? | Apr 02 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Solana hit $190 in March? | Apr 02 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Ethereum hit $3,500.00 again by March 31? | Apr 02 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $77000 on Mar 21? | Mar 23 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Solana above $145 on March 14? | Mar 15 | $1 | $0 | +0% |