Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T14:45:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

74
0x7411…9e8b
crypto · 30 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$9 -4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$27 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$27
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)57%
Wins / losses17 / 13
Open positions0
Markets (closed)30 / 30
History coverage1d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day125.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 30 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$27
7 days−$27
14 days−$27
30 days−$27
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -70%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$8 -40%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$1 -20%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $14 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$2 +29%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $16 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 14 $16 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +8%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$1 +7%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -23%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$1 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$1 -18%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$1 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$1 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +28%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +43%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +20%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$27
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Down 7¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $0 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 65¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $6 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 80¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $0 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $0 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $3 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 14, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET SELL Up 54¢ $3 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +23%
net ROI/market (all)-31.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 30 -24.7% -31.8% 57% 23% -21.1%
≤30d 30 -24.7% -31.8% 57% 23% -21.1%
≤90d 30 -24.7% -31.8% 57% 23% -21.1%
all 30 -24.7% -31.8% 57% 23% -21.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover125.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -31.8% 23% -21.1%
10% ← realistic here -38.4% 10% -28.6%
15% -44.3% 3% -35.5%
20% -49.8% 0% -41.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 132 history records