Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:25:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

74
0x7422…8a59
sports · 480 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,174 -15%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,070 · open −$52
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$233
Realized−$1,070
Unrealized−$52
Win rate (resolved)45%
Wins / losses214 / 260
Est. fees paid−$95
Open positions6
Markets (closed)474 / 480
History coverage15d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day147.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit87%
Chart Positions 6 History 474 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$131
7 days−$254
14 days−$1,058
30 days−$1,070
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Mattia Bellucci 53¢ 56¢ $99 $104 +$5 (+5%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Dane Sweeny 40¢ 62¢ $35 $54 +$19 (+55%)
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris Billy Harris 70¢ 38¢ $66 $35 −$30 (-46%)
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Taylor Fritz 67¢ 44¢ $29 $19 −$10 (-34%)
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 66¢ 47¢ $13 $9 −$4 (-29%)
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? Yes 3¢ 2¢ $8 $7 −$1 (-16%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Celine Naef 66¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+51%)
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election by 1%+? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-95%)
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo Akasha Urhobo 18¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimova Amanda Anisimova 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5 Under 75¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Birmingham: Mananchaya Sawangkaew vs Kayla Day Kayla Day 33¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landaluce Martin Landaluce 40¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Georgia win on 2026-06-02? Yes 65¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Tucuman: Ryan Dickerson vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Ryan Dickerson 9¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Elias Ymer Elias Ymer 14¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 12.5 Over 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. St. Louis Cardinals Texas Rangers 33¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
France vs. Northern Ireland: Both Teams to Score No 68¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreeva Marta Kostyuk 29¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Tyler: Murphy Cassone vs Yuta Shimizu Murphy Cassone 61¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldi Frances Tiafoe 39¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Emma Raducanu Jun 12 $437 −$55 -13%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $30 +$7 +22%
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan Jun 12 $14 −$2 -14%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $197 +$49 +25%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $104 −$19 -19%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $178 −$51 -28%
Tucuman: Lorenzo Joaquin Rodriguez vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 11 $1 $0 +38%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $305 +$43 +14%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $12 +$2 +17%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 11 $34 −$31 -90%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 11 $68 +$9 +13%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $410 −$65 -16%
ITF Zagreb: Gina Marie Dittmann vs Ipek Oz Jun 11 $8 −$8 -99%
Bratislava: Maxim Mrva vs Chun-Hsin Tseng Jun 11 $2 −$1 -51%
ITF Guimaraes: Katarina Kuzmova vs Lauryn John-Baptiste Jun 11 $28 −$28 -98%
Libema Open: Robin Montgomery vs Greet Minnen Jun 11 $131 −$16 -12%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 10 $250 +$10 +4%
Tucuman: Nick Hardt vs Bruno Fernandez Jun 10 $1 $0 +21%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Christopher O'Connell Jun 10 $42 +$25 +59%
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 10 $10 −$1 -9%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $108 +$9 +8%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $5 −$3 -53%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Score Jun 10 $3 $0 +10%
Spread: Senegal (-1.5) Jun 10 $6 +$3 +47%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 1.5 Jun 10 $15 −$15 -98%
Saudi Arabia vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 Jun 09 $7 −$7 -98%
Tucuman: Ryan Dickerson vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida Jun 09 $2 −$1 -49%
Will Armenia vs. Moldova end in a draw? Jun 09 $8 −$7 -87%
Will Armenia win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $34 −$15 -44%
Will Moldova win on 2026-06-09? Jun 09 $2 −$1 -49%
Cattolica: Federico Bondioli vs Carlo Alberto Caniato Jun 09 $35 −$11 -32%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 09 $10 +$2 +22%
Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 09 $132 +$17 +13%
Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $2 −$1 -53%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 4.5 Jun 08 $10 −$1 -9%
France vs. Northern Ireland: Draw at halftime? Jun 08 $13 −$11 -90%
Niger vs. Mauritania: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $1 +$1 +122%
France vs. Northern Ireland: Both Teams to Score Jun 08 $5 −$4 -79%
Northern Ireland leading at halftime? Jun 08 $8 −$1 -12%
France leading at halftime? Jun 08 $31 −$27 -86%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 1.5 Jun 08 $29 −$20 -68%
Will France win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $22 −$9 -41%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $96 −$70 -73%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 3.5 Jun 08 $59 +$128 +218%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 0.5 Jun 08 $15 $0 +3%
Will Northern Ireland win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $15 $0 +2%
Modena: Katarzyna Kawa vs Lisa Pigato Jun 08 $114 −$105 -92%
Spread: France (-1.5) Jun 08 $21 −$6 -28%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 5.5 Jun 08 $31 +$14 +45%
Will Niger win on 2026-06-08? Jun 08 $21 +$9 +45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% −$877
other 11% −$228
politics 1% −$2
crypto 1% −$12
world 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Billy Harris 38¢ $2 1m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 54¢ $59 3m
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Dane Sweeny 63¢ $1 3m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 56¢ $37 4m
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Dane Sweeny 62¢ $3 5m
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Dane Sweeny 65¢ $6 7m
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Dane Sweeny 59¢ $1 11m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 69¢ $10 18m
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 66¢ $12 23m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 67¢ $11 24m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 31¢ $3 29m
Tucuman: Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez BUY Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida 69¢ $1 30m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 67¢ $2 31m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 66¢ $7 32m
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Mattia Bellucci 36¢ $1 33m
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo BUY Akasha Urhobo 17¢ $5 46m
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Billy Harris 71¢ $16 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Dane Sweeny 31¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Katie Swan 71¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Viktorija Golubic vs Katie Swan BUY Katie Swan 71¢ $4 1h
Ilkley: Celine Naef vs Akasha Urhobo BUY Celine Naef 66¢ $3 1h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Henrique Rocha 58¢ $10 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Billy Harris 72¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Dane Sweeny 30¢ $4 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Billy Harris 72¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Billy Harris 71¢ $1 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Billy Harris 70¢ $2 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Billy Harris 70¢ $4 1h
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Billy Harris BUY Billy Harris 70¢ $7 1h
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch BUY Darwin Blanch 36¢ $5 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +36%
net ROI/market (all)-29.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 69 -23.2% -30.5% 42% 33% -16.9%
≤30d 474 -22.0% -29.5% 45% 36% -24.5%
≤90d 474 -22.0% -29.5% 45% 36% -24.5%
all 474 -22.0% -29.5% 45% 36% -24.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover147.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -29.5% 36% -24.5%
10% ← realistic here -36.2% 26% -31.7%
15% -42.4% 19% -38.3%
20% -48.0% 15% -44.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $232.76 · official $203.24 · 2372 history records