trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +37.7% | +24.6% | 43% | 43% | -13.4% |
| ≤30d | 7 | +37.7% | +24.6% | 43% | 43% | -13.4% |
| ≤90d | 7 | +37.7% | +24.6% | 43% | 43% | -13.4% |
| all | 39 | -43.5% | -48.9% | 18% | 18% | -44.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -48.9% | 18% | -44.5% |
| 10% | -53.8% | 15% | -49.8% |
| 15% | -58.2% | 15% | -54.6% |
| 20% | -62.3% | 13% | -59.1% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026? | No | 41¢ | 12¢ | $50 | $14 | −$36 (-71%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $55 | +$32 | +57% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? | Jun 17 | $31 | +$26 | +86% |
| UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Ca | Jun 15 | $32 | +$122 | +383% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $51 | −$9 | -17% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 13 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? | Jun 13 | $200 | −$91 | -46% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | Jun 12 | $51 | −$50 | -99% |
| Will "Chalamet" be said 5+ times at the Oscars? | Mar 12 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET | Mar 11 | $50 | −$49 | -99% |
| Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards? | Mar 11 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Warriors | Mar 11 | $30 | +$18 | +61% |
| UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card) | Jan 25 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| LoL: Team WE vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Perseverance | Jan 22 | $100 | −$39 | -39% |
| LoL: OKSavingsBank BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Cup Group | Jan 22 | $116 | +$22 | +19% |
| Timberwolves vs. Rockets | Jan 17 | $100 | −$19 | -19% |
| Pelicans vs. Pacers | Jan 17 | $100 | −$12 | -12% |
| LoL: Team WE vs EDward Gaming (BO3) | Jan 16 | $118 | −$100 | -85% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) | Jan 16 | $100 | −$50 | -50% |
| Suns vs. Pistons | Jan 16 | $100 | −$21 | -21% |
| LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) | Jan 15 | $124 | −$24 | -19% |
| LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) | Jan 15 | $120 | −$20 | -17% |
| Adelaide International: Ugo Humbert vs Alexander Shevchenko | Jan 15 | $112 | −$12 | -11% |
| Wizards vs. Clippers | Jan 15 | $212 | −$12 | -6% |
| Knicks vs. Kings | Jan 15 | $100 | −$18 | -18% |
| Raptors vs. Pacers | Jan 15 | $245 | −$45 | -18% |
| LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) | Jan 14 | $126 | −$26 | -21% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Warriors | Jan 14 | $214 | −$14 | -7% |
| Hawks vs. Lakers | Jan 14 | $8 | −$3 | -38% |
| Spurs vs. Thunder | Jan 14 | $130 | −$30 | -23% |
| Counter-Strike: FaZe vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) | Jan 13 | $58 | −$40 | -69% |
| Counter-Strike: illwill vs MASONIC (BO3) | Jan 13 | $42 | −$4 | -9% |
| Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs OG (BO3) | Jan 13 | $55 | −$10 | -18% |
| Hobart International: Emma Raducanu vs Camila Osorio | Jan 13 | $50 | −$1 | -1% |
| Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 mi | Jan 13 | $100 | +$56 | +56% |
| Lakers vs. Kings | Jan 13 | $125 | −$100 | -80% |
| Celtics vs. Pacers | Jan 12 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Warriors | Jan 12 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Will "Venezuela" or "Maduro" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes? | Jan 12 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Nets vs. Grizzlies | Jan 12 | $100 | +$41 | +41% |