trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤90d | 7 | +6.4% | -3.7% | 29% | 29% | -2.2% |
| all | 128 | +16.3% | +5.2% | 41% | 41% | -5.7% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +5.2% | 41% | -5.7% |
| 10% | -4.8% | 41% | -14.7% |
| 15% | -14.0% | 38% | -22.9% |
| 20% | -22.5% | 34% | -30.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 4¢ | 4¢ | $75 | $66 | −$9 (-12%) |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 11¢ | 8¢ | $75 | $53 | −$22 (-29%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | Apr 24 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | Apr 24 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | Apr 20 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Magic vs. Pistons | Apr 20 | $15 | +$55 | +365% |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | Apr 19 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | Apr 19 | $15 | +$27 | +180% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Apr 18 | $15 | −$15 | -98% |
| First Round Pool C: Japan vs. Czechia | Mar 10 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| First Round Pool C: Chinese Taipei vs. Japan | Mar 02 | $100 | −$100 | -100% |
| Lakers vs. Suns | Dec 23 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Timberwolves | Dec 23 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Magic | Dec 13 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Suns vs. Thunder | Dec 10 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Pistons vs. Bucks | Dec 10 | $15 | +$24 | +163% |
| Suns vs. Timberwolves | Dec 10 | $15 | +$45 | +300% |
| Raptors vs. Knicks | Nov 30 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Trail Blazers | Nov 19 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Jazz vs. Lakers | Nov 18 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Bulls vs. Nuggets | Nov 18 | $15 | +$100 | +669% |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | Nov 16 | $15 | +$18 | +122% |
| Magic vs. Rockets | Nov 16 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Grizzlies vs. Knicks | Nov 11 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Heat vs. Clippers | Nov 11 | $15 | +$41 | +270% |
| Bulls vs. Knicks | Nov 02 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Warriors vs. Bucks | Nov 02 | $15 | +$21 | +138% |
| Jazz vs. Suns | Oct 31 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Kings vs. Bulls | Oct 29 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will CTBC Flying Oyster win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational? | Jul 07 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| MSI Playoffs: CTBC Flying Oyster vs. Anyone's Legend | Jul 07 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Will Real Madrid win the FIFA Club World Cup? | Jul 01 | $50 | −$50 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Thunder | Jul 01 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Pacers | Jul 01 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Thunder vs. Pacers | Jul 01 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Pacers | Jul 01 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Thunder | Jul 01 | $30 | +$12 | +41% |
| Pacers vs. Thunder | Jun 19 | $20 | +$6 | +28% |
| Pacers vs. Thunder | Jun 11 | $20 | +$4 | +22% |
| Knicks vs. Pacers | May 31 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Knicks | May 31 | $10 | +$6 | +59% |
| Thunder vs. Timberwolves | May 27 | $20 | +$13 | +67% |
| Thunder vs. Timberwolves | May 26 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Pacers | May 26 | $20 | +$23 | +117% |
| Pacers vs. Knicks | May 26 | $15 | +$33 | +223% |
| Timberwolves vs. Thunder | May 23 | $20 | +$7 | +37% |
| Thunder vs. Nuggets | May 22 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Knicks vs. Celtics | May 22 | $15 | −$15 | -100% |
| Celtics vs. Knicks | May 22 | $30 | −$30 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Thunder | May 22 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Pacers vs. Knicks | May 22 | $15 | +$24 | +163% |
| Nuggets vs. Thunder | May 22 | $30 | +$10 | +33% |
| Market | side | price | size | when |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY Yes | 11¢ | $77 | 5d |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BUY Yes | 4¢ | $77 | 5d |
| Spurs vs. Trail Blazers | BUY Trail Blazers | 44¢ | $15 | 54d |
| Celtics vs. 76ers | BUY 76ers | 28¢ | $15 | 54d |
| Raptors vs. Cavaliers | BUY Raptors | 24¢ | $15 | 58d |
| Trail Blazers vs. Spurs | BUY Trail Blazers | 17¢ | $15 | 59d |
| Magic vs. Pistons | BUY Magic | 21¢ | $15 | 59d |
| Rockets vs. Lakers | BUY Lakers | 35¢ | $15 | 60d |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | BUY Timberwolves | 29¢ | $15 | 60d |
| First Round Pool C: Japan vs. Czechia | BUY Czechia | 1¢ | $1 | 99d |
| First Round Pool C: Chinese Taipei vs. Japan | BUY Chinese Taipei | 12¢ | $100 | 107d |
| Lakers vs. Suns | BUY Lakers | 34¢ | $15 | 176d |
| Knicks vs. Timberwolves | BUY Knicks | 31¢ | $15 | 176d |
| Knicks vs. Magic | BUY Magic | 36¢ | $15 | 186d |
| Suns vs. Thunder | BUY Suns | 13¢ | $15 | 189d |
| Suns vs. Timberwolves | BUY Suns | 25¢ | $15 | 191d |
| Pistons vs. Bucks | BUY Bucks | 38¢ | $15 | 196d |
| Raptors vs. Knicks | BUY Raptors | 27¢ | $15 | 199d |
| Bulls vs. Trail Blazers | BUY Trail Blazers | 43¢ | $15 | 210d |
| Jazz vs. Lakers | BUY Jazz | 16¢ | $15 | 211d |
| Bulls vs. Nuggets | BUY Bulls | 13¢ | $15 | 212d |
| Magic vs. Rockets | BUY Magic | 27¢ | $15 | 213d |
| Nuggets vs. Timberwolves | BUY Nuggets | 45¢ | $15 | 214d |
| Grizzlies vs. Knicks | BUY Grizzlies | 21¢ | $15 | 218d |
| Heat vs. Clippers | BUY Heat | 27¢ | $15 | 226d |
| Bulls vs. Knicks | BUY Bulls | 30¢ | $15 | 227d |
| Jazz vs. Suns | BUY Jazz | 41¢ | $15 | 229d |
| Warriors vs. Bucks | BUY Bucks | 42¢ | $15 | 230d |
| Kings vs. Bulls | BUY Kings | 38¢ | $15 | 231d |
| Will CTBC Flying Oyster win the 2025 Mid-Season Invitational? | BUY Yes | 2¢ | $30 | 345d |