Wallet analysis

2026-06-19T01:37:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
74 0x7437…717a crypto 61 markets active 5d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (74 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ profits on perfect fills only — loses on real
Total PnL +$16 (+1%) realized +$16 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +12% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -14% what you keep after slip
Net edge-14%after slip
Net WR48%break-even
Win rate80%49W / 12L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$26per market
Trades / day73.9pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$8
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (74 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)+1.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 61 +12.2% +1.5% 80% 48% -10.0%
≤30d 61 +12.2% +1.5% 80% 48% -10.0%
≤90d 61 +12.2% +1.5% 80% 48% -10.0%
all 61 +12.2% +1.5% 80% 48% -10.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover73.9 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +1.5% 48% -10.0%
10% ← realistic here -8.2% 31% -18.6%
15% -17.1% 25% -26.5%
20% -25.2% 20% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 17% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
39% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +12% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +10% → late +15% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.3 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$14 · ×0.23 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.95 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)80%
Wins / losses49 / 12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)61 / 61
History coverage1d
Avg bet$26
Trades / day73.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 61 Trades
no open positions (10 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 14 $137 −$135 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$4 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 14 $56 +$9 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$4 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 14 $112 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 14 $137 +$7 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $121 +$3 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$3 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$2 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$2 +215%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $56 +$8 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $91 +$2 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $41 +$5 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$6 +112%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$5 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $71 +$4 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $61 +$1 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $41 +$3 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$3 +249%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 13 $25 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 13 $51 +$4 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 13 $17 +$14 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$1 +99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 13 $31 +$4 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $16 +$13 +84%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $101 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 93¢ $30 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 82¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $51 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $102 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $132 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 13¢ $1 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $101 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $20 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $1 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 128 history records