Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:13:28+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

74
0x7446…1cb6
crypto · 755 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$43 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)92%
Wins / losses698 / 57
Open positions0
Markets (closed)755 / 755
History coverage101d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day8.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 0 History 755 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$25
14 days−$20
30 days−$19
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $8 −$16 -200%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +0%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET Jun 13 $8 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +4%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +4%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +3%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +3%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 11 $8 −$7 -90%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +0%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +6%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 −$8 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 2AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +0%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +0%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +2%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 11 $5 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 11 $8 $0 +4%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 83% −$49
other 17% +$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $8 3h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET BUY Up 100¢ $8 3h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $8 10h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 8AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $8 10h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $8 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $8 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $8 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET SELL Down 10¢ $1 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $8 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $8 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $8 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $8 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $8 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $8 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $8 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $8 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 100¢ $2 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $8 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $8 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +1%
net ROI/market (all)-11.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 350 -0.6% -10.1% 94% 0% -10.1%
≤30d 690 -0.3% -9.8% 94% 1% -9.7%
≤90d 690 -0.3% -9.8% 94% 1% -9.7%
all 755 -2.5% -11.7% 92% 1% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -11.7% 1% -10.1%
10% -20.2% 0% -18.7%
15% -27.9% 0% -26.6%
20% -35.0% 0% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1610 history records