Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:21:49+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

74
0x7462…3ac3
sports · 914 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
+$5,351 +1%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$5,535 · open −$183
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,403
Realized+$5,535
Unrealized−$183
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses507 / 397
Whale WR (big bets)57%
Est. fees paid−$4,498
Open positions6
Markets (closed)904 / 914
History coverage16d
Avg bet$392
Trades / day164.4
Drawdown79%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 6 History 904 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,475
7 days−$16,145
14 days−$2,507
30 days+$5,535
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura Hikaru Sato 90¢ 90¢ $1,087 $1,078 −$9 (-1%)
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim Jangjun Kim 72¢ 90¢ $788 $973 +$185 (+23%)
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim Hikaru Shiraishi 16¢ 10¢ $325 $207 −$117 (-36%)
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Kokoro Isomura Pawit Sornlaksup 78¢ 73¢ $108 $101 −$7 (-6%)
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura Kayo Nishimura 19¢ 10¢ $61 $33 −$28 (-46%)
Hikaru Sato vs. Kayo Nishimura: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Under 2.5 81¢ 53¢ $16 $11 −$6 (-35%)
Panna Udvardy vs. Viktorija Golubic: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Over 2.5 41¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-99%)
Set Handicap: Sato (-1.5) vs Nishimura (+1.5) Nishimura 17¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-97%)
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez 59¢ 0¢ $1,181 $0 −$1,181 (-100%)
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alves Luiza Fullana 7¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Los Angeles: Spencer Johnson vs Nathan Trouve Jun 13 $513 +$98 +19%
ITF Cuiaba: Luiza Fullana vs Carolina Alves Jun 12 $3 −$3 -97%
LoL: Forsaken vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $115 −$115 -100%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group D Jun 12 $210 −$210 -100%
Set Handicap: Samson (-1.5) vs Quevedo (+1.5) Jun 12 $67 −$67 -100%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1,382 −$1,382 -100%
ITF Cuiaba: Noelia Zeballos vs Mell Elizabeth Reasco Gonzalez Jun 12 $1,195 −$1,181 -99%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $212 +$233 +109%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $409 +$448 +110%
Game Handicap: ES (-1.5) vs Anubis Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $2,744 −$2,119 -77%
ITF Cuiaba: Martina Capurro Taborda vs Gabriella Price Jun 12 $158 +$13 +8%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 +$11 +884%
ITF Cuiaba: Antonia Rivera vs Maria Florencia Urrutia Jun 12 $357 +$48 +13%
LoL: Eintracht Spandau vs Anubis Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $435 +$38 +9%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $16 +$19 +114%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $14 +$4 +32%
ITF Wichita: Ozan Baris vs Duncan Chan Jun 12 $39 +$10 +24%
Valorant: Team Heretics vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT Masters London Pl Jun 12 $303 +$120 +40%
Set Handicap: Romano (-1.5) vs Jones (+1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: G2 NORD vs WLGaming Esports - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Set Handicap: Lehecka (-1.5) vs Tiafoe (+1.5) Jun 12 $42 −$42 -100%
Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) Jun 12 $113 −$113 -100%
Set Handicap: Jones (-1.5) vs Romano (+1.5) Jun 12 $212 −$212 -100%
Valorant: Paper Rex vs Leviatán Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $165 −$165 -100%
ITF Martos: Dan Added vs Rafael Izquierdo Luque Jun 12 $304 −$304 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $543 −$543 -100%
ITF Martos: Emile Hudd vs Joao Domingues Jun 12 $9 +$126 +1410%
Ilkley: Filippo Romano vs Jack Pinnington Jones Jun 12 $305 +$334 +109%
ITF San Gregorio: Dunja Maric vs Nadia Podoroska Jun 12 $18 +$11 +62%
Game Handicap: HLE (-2.5) vs T1 (+2.5) Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs G2 (+1.5) Jun 12 $28 −$28 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $302 −$302 -100%
Libema Open: Nuno Borges vs Marin Cilic Jun 12 $306 −$306 -100%
ITF San Gregorio: Aurora Zantedeschi vs Alessandra Mazzola Jun 12 $267 −$267 -100%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $1,221 −$1,221 -100%
ITF Nice: Oana Georgeta Simion vs Jenny Lim Jun 12 $8 +$2 +20%
Set 1 Winner: Zantedeschi vs Mazzola Jun 12 $148 +$81 +55%
HSBC Championships: Iva Jovic vs Amanda Anisimova Jun 12 $303 +$180 +60%
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $304 +$196 +65%
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 12 $8 +$9 +107%
Ilkley: Henrique Rocha vs Darwin Blanch Jun 12 $1,122 +$749 +67%
ITF San Gregorio: Andreea Prisacariu vs Camilla Gennaro Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
ITF Zagreb: Anna-Lena Friedsam vs Gina Marie Dittmann Jun 12 $0 $0 +7%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Forsaken - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
ITF Tokyo: Eri Shimizu vs Mayuka Aikawa Jun 12 $302 −$302 -100%
LoL: Partizan Sangal vs WLGaming Esports (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group C Jun 12 $274 −$274 -100%
ITF Maanshan: Hanyi Liu vs Kokoro Isomura Jun 12 $306 −$306 -100%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $318 −$318 -100%
Set Handicap: McNally (-1.5) vs Sierra (+1.5) Jun 12 $616 −$616 -100%
Lyon: Tristan Boyer vs Nikolas Sanchez Izquierdo Jun 12 $609 −$609 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$5,375
other 1% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim BUY Hikaru Shiraishi 18¢ $168 1m
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim BUY Hikaru Shiraishi 15¢ $163 8m
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Kokoro Isomura BUY Pawit Sornlaksup 78¢ $102 15m
ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Kokoro Isomura BUY Pawit Sornlaksup 77¢ $6 17m
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura BUY Kayo Nishimura 16¢ $10 25m
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim BUY Hikaru Shiraishi 38¢ $0 26m
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura BUY Kayo Nishimura 22¢ $46 32m
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura BUY Kayo Nishimura 22¢ $1 32m
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura BUY Kayo Nishimura 20¢ $1 38m
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura BUY Kayo Nishimura 12¢ $1 42m
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura BUY Kayo Nishimura 7¢ $1 44m
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim BUY Hikaru Shiraishi 25¢ $1 45m
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura BUY Kayo Nishimura 13¢ $1 58m
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura BUY Kayo Nishimura 10¢ $1 1h
Set Handicap: Sato (-1.5) vs Nishimura (+1.5) BUY Nishimura 17¢ $6 1h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim BUY Jangjun Kim 84¢ $84 1h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim BUY Jangjun Kim 85¢ $43 1h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim BUY Jangjun Kim 85¢ $50 1h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim BUY Jangjun Kim 84¢ $8 1h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura BUY Hikaru Sato 93¢ $13 1h
Hikaru Sato vs. Kayo Nishimura: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2.5 81¢ $16 1h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura BUY Hikaru Sato 91¢ $40 1h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura BUY Hikaru Sato 90¢ $271 1h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura BUY Hikaru Sato 90¢ $301 1h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura BUY Hikaru Sato 91¢ $91 1h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura BUY Hikaru Sato 91¢ $260 1h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura BUY Hikaru Sato 90¢ $108 1h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura BUY Hikaru Sato 74¢ $4 1h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim BUY Jangjun Kim 72¢ $4 1h
ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Sato vs Kayo Nishimura BUY Hikaru Sato 69¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-2.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 396 +2.0% -7.7% 57% 50% -19.0%
≤30d 904 +8.4% -2.0% 56% 49% -8.6%
≤90d 904 +8.4% -2.0% 56% 49% -8.6%
all 904 +8.4% -2.0% 56% 49% -8.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover164.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.0% 49% -8.6%
10% ← realistic here -11.3% 38% -17.4%
15% -19.9% 31% -25.4%
20% -27.8% 24% -32.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,402.51 · official $2,402.51 (match) · 3500 history records