trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 4 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 25% | 0% | -10.7% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 14% | 0% | -10.3% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 14% | 0% | -10.3% |
| all | 32 | -9.1% | -17.8% | 47% | 6% | -11.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -17.8% | 6% | -11.3% |
| 10% | -25.6% | 6% | -19.8% |
| 15% | -32.8% | 3% | -27.6% |
| 20% | -39.4% | 3% | -34.7% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the United Kingdom send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by | Jun 16 | $47 | −$2 | -4% |
| US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? | Jun 15 | $34 | $0 | +0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? | Jun 13 | $37 | $0 | -0% |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Jun 12 | $8 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Stra | Jun 11 | $40 | $0 | +0% |
| Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parlia | Jun 10 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027? | Jun 10 | $26 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before July? | Dec 10 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1700 in July? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +5% |
| Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or? | Dec 10 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Han Duck-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 04 | $2 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1600 in May? | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Mario Grech be the next pope? | May 09 | $2 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Elon tweet 325-349 times March 21-28? | Mar 27 | $24 | +$1 | +4% |
| Will the Washington Capitals win the 2025 Stanley Cup? | Mar 26 | $14 | $0 | -2% |
| Will George Russell win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint? | Mar 23 | $3 | −$3 | -100% |
| Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2025 President’s Trophy? | Mar 21 | $24 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Chinese Grand Prix Sprint? | Mar 21 | $46 | −$9 | -18% |
| Will Victor Ponta win the Romanian presidential election? | Mar 20 | $46 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elena Lasconi win the Romanian Presidential election by 0-5%? | Mar 20 | $48 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will 'Wicked' win 4-5 Oscars at the 2025 Academy Awards? | Mar 04 | $48 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "I'm Not a Robot" win Best Action Short Film at the 2025 Oscars? | Mar 04 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 38-39°F on March 2? | Mar 02 | $48 | $0 | -1% |
| Gardner Webb vs. Presbyterian College | Mar 02 | $5 | −$5 | -100% |
| Tulane vs. Tulsa | Mar 02 | $28 | +$20 | +70% |
| St. Joseph's vs. Fordham | Mar 02 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on March 3? | Mar 02 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will "El Mal" win Best Original Song at the 2025 Oscars? | Mar 02 | $10 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Trump's 538 approval rating be between 48.0% and 48.4% on Februar | Mar 02 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| UTSA vs. East Carolina | Mar 01 | $12 | +$4 | +35% |
| LSU vs. Mississippi State | Mar 01 | $40 | −$1 | -3% |
| Will CDU/CSU and Greens form the next German Government? | Mar 01 | $39 | +$1 | +2% |