Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:01:38+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

74
0x7492…abbf
crypto · 1445 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
+$760 +12%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$760 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$760
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses649 / 605
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1254 / 1445
History coverage10d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day275.5
Drawdown36%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1254 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$287
7 days+$400
14 days+$760
30 days+$760
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Down 40¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -28360%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -1681%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -108%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -2256%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,184
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 47m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET BUY Down 37¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 32¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Up 75¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 73¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)+2.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 841 +10.7% +0.2% 50% 48% +0.2%
≤30d 1254 +13.7% +2.9% 52% 49% +2.6%
≤90d 1254 +13.7% +2.9% 52% 49% +2.6%
all 1254 +13.7% +2.9% 52% 49% +2.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover275.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +2.9% 49% +2.6%
10% ← realistic here -7.0% 47% -7.2%
15% -16.0% 43% -16.2%
20% -24.2% 32% -24.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records