Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:58:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

74
0x74a2…e32f
crypto · 79 markets active 0h ago
0.5score
+$1,117 +6%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1,119 · open −$1
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$178
Realized+$1,119
Unrealized−$1
Win rate (resolved)64%
Wins / losses49 / 28
Open positions2
Markets (closed)77 / 79
History coverage1d
Avg bet$234
Trades / day3422.0
Drawdown26%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 2 History 77 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1,119
7 days+$1,119
14 days+$1,119
30 days+$1,119
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Down 83¢ 96¢ $99 $115 +$17 (+17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 43¢ 32¢ $49 $37 −$12 (-24%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Down 58¢ 68¢ $21 $24 +$3 (+16%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 19¢ 4¢ $6 $1 −$5 (-82%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $197 +$13 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $126 +$30 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $222 +$23 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $62 +$23 +37%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $63 +$99 +155%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $95 +$13 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $70 +$7 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $89 −$24 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $109 +$54 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $150 +$30 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $92 +$16 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $224 −$72 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $137 +$29 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $213 −$11 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $99 −$3 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $118 +$10 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 12 $195 −$89 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $204 +$66 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $260 −$91 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $76 −$26 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $196 −$32 -16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $319 −$25 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $170 −$18 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $46 +$7 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 12 $174 −$36 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $190 +$28 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $166 +$43 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $172 +$37 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $185 +$87 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 12 $493 +$116 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $266 −$120 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $82 −$17 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $273 +$11 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $254 +$371 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $131 +$76 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $360 +$71 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $114 +$13 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $407 +$92 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $166 +$33 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $292 +$16 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $303 +$4 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $208 +$85 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $93 −$26 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $518 +$67 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $168 +$28 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $302 −$29 -10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $152 +$87 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $470 −$7 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $334 −$100 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $349 +$26 +8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,117
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 30¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $0 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 33¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 32¢ $2 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $6 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 1m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-0.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 +9.6% -0.9% 64% 44% -4.0%
≤30d 77 +9.6% -0.9% 64% 44% -4.0%
≤90d 77 +9.6% -0.9% 64% 44% -4.0%
all 77 +9.6% -0.9% 64% 44% -4.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3422.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -0.9% 44% -4.0%
10% ← realistic here -10.3% 22% -13.2%
15% -19.0% 13% -21.6%
20% -26.9% 8% -29.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $177.68 · official $194.93 · 3500 history records