trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 25 | -13.7% | -22.0% | 24% | 20% | -34.6% |
| ≤30d | 25 | -13.7% | -22.0% | 24% | 20% | -34.6% |
| ≤90d | 28 | -23.0% | -30.3% | 21% | 18% | -37.0% |
| all | 28 | -23.0% | -30.3% | 21% | 18% | -37.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -30.3% | 18% | -37.0% |
| 10% | -37.0% | 14% | -43.0% |
| 15% | -43.1% | 14% | -48.5% |
| 20% | -48.7% | 14% | -53.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Jordan win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $1 | −$1 | -97% |
| Will Brazil vs. Haiti end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $1 | $0 | +9% |
| Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $6 | −$3 | -50% |
| Will Algeria win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $5 | −$1 | -23% |
| Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16? | Jun 16 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $1 | +$3 | +306% |
| Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $3 | +$4 | +161% |
| Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $3 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 15 | $1 | $0 | -3% |
| Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $7 | −$7 | -97% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14? | Jun 14 | $2 | −$2 | -97% |
| Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $2 | +$5 | +250% |
| Will Haiti vs. Scotland end in a draw? | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $10 | −$3 | -33% |
| Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $2 | +$13 | +649% |
| Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 12 | $8 | −$8 | -99% |
| Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $17 | +$3 | +18% |
| Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? | Jun 11 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? | Jun 11 | $4 | −$3 | -83% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | May 17 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 me | Apr 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 24 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |