trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | Down | 6¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | Up | 16¢ | 0¢ | $1 | $0 | −$1 (-100%) |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Yes | 82¢ | 0¢ | $12 | $0 | −$12 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET | Jun 14 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET | Jun 14 | $2 | +$2 | +105% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET | Jun 14 | $2 | +$1 | +57% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +70% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +62% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | −$1 | -94% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET | Jun 14 | $1 | +$1 | +60% |
| Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) | Jun 13 | $4 | −$3 | -63% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET | Jun 13 | $3 | −$1 | -37% |
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 13 | $12 | −$12 | -100% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 11 | -13.2% | -21.5% | 45% | 45% | -55.5% |
| ≤30d | 11 | -13.2% | -21.5% | 45% | 45% | -55.5% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -13.2% | -21.5% | 45% | 45% | -55.5% |
| all | 11 | -13.2% | -21.5% | 45% | 45% | -55.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -21.5% | 45% | -55.5% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -29.0% | 45% | -59.8% |
| 15% | -35.9% | 45% | -63.7% |
| 20% | -42.2% | 45% | -67.2% |