Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:39:16+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

74
0x74bb…1759
sports · 327 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,918 -5%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,603 · open −$315
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$72
Realized−$1,603
Unrealized−$315
Win rate (resolved)28%
Wins / losses91 / 233
Est. fees paid−$133
Open positions3
Markets (closed)324 / 327
History coverage118d
Avg bet$123
Trades / day7.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit64%
Chart Positions 3 History 324 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days$0
14 days$0
30 days$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? Yes 18¢ 12¢ $97 $65 −$32 (-33%)
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? Yes 1¢ 0¢ $191 $7 −$184 (-96%)
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First Half Yes 32¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-15? Yes 17¢ 0¢ $146 $0 −$146 (-100%)
Will Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw? Yes 20¢ 0¢ $130 $0 −$130 (-100%)
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Independiente Santa Fe end in a draw? Yes 12¢ 0¢ $146 $0 −$146 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw? Apr 16 $133 −$130 -98%
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Independiente Santa Fe end in a draw? Apr 16 $150 −$146 -97%
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-15? Apr 15 $150 −$146 -98%
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-14? Apr 15 $185 −$185 -100%
Will AD Pasto vs. CD Tolima end in a draw? Apr 15 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-12? Apr 13 $339 −$339 -100%
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12? Apr 13 $149 −$149 -100%
Spread: FC Andorra (-1.5) Apr 13 $201 −$201 -100%
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw? Apr 13 $150 −$150 -100%
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-04-12? Apr 13 $100 −$100 -100%
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score Apr 12 $100 −$100 -100%
AZ vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to Score Apr 12 $99 −$99 -100%
CA Paranaense vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol: Both Teams to Sco Apr 12 $110 −$110 -100%
Will CA Paranaense vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw Apr 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-12? Apr 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Sunderland AFC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: Both Teams to Score Apr 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Rolex Monte Carlo Masters: Carlos Alcaraz vs Jannik Sinner Apr 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-04-12? Apr 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-04-11? Apr 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-04-11? Apr 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Sporting Kansas City vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw? Apr 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-04-11? Apr 12 $102 −$102 -100%
Will CF América vs. CF Cruz Azul end in a draw? Apr 12 $100 +$257 +257%
Will Atlético Nacional win on 2026-04-11? Apr 12 $120 +$622 +519%
CD Riestra vs. Instituto AC Córdoba: Both Teams to Score Apr 12 $147 −$147 -100%
Spread: Atalanta BC (-1.5) Apr 12 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Clube do Remo win on 2026-04-11? Apr 12 $318 −$318 -100%
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-11? Apr 12 $768 +$1,070 +139%
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-11? Apr 11 $100 −$100 -100%
Will FC Nantes win on 2026-04-11? Apr 11 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. PSV end in a draw? Apr 11 $100 −$100 -100%
AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 3.5 Apr 11 $100 −$100 -100%
Will UD Las Palmas win on 2026-04-11? Apr 11 $100 −$100 -100%
Will AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio end in a draw? Apr 11 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-04-11? Apr 11 $100 −$100 -100%
Will FC Barcelona vs. RCD Espanyol de Barcelona end in a draw? Apr 11 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw? Apr 11 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Clube do Remo vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw? Apr 11 $150 +$619 +413%
Will Hellas Verona FC win on 2026-04-11? Apr 11 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Club Puebla vs. Club León FC end in a draw? Apr 11 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-04-11? Apr 11 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Deportivo Alavés win on 2026-04-11? Apr 11 $100 −$100 -100%
Will Aurora FC win on 2026-04-10? Apr 11 $99 −$99 -100%
Will Auckland FC vs. Melbourne Victory FC end in a draw? Apr 11 $90 +$256 +284%
FC Juárez vs. Club Tijuana: Both Teams to Score Apr 11 $99 +$192 +194%
Spread: Club Tijuana (-1.5) Apr 11 $96 +$283 +295%
Will FC Augsburg win on 2026-04-10? Apr 11 $100 −$100 -100%
Real Madrid CF vs. Girona FC: Both Teams to Score Apr 10 $100 +$151 +152%
Will Cusco FC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw? Apr 10 $100 −$100 -100%
Will CDP Junior FC win on 2026-04-08? Apr 10 $100 −$100 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 59% −$3,388
other 39% +$2,155
crypto 1% −$400
tech 0% −$184
world 0% −$100
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Canada 2 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina? BUY Yes 18¢ $100 33m
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in First Half BUY Yes 32¢ $100 1h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 43h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $4T? BUY Yes 1¢ $198 43h
Will Fluminense FC vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw? BUY Yes 20¢ $133 57d
Will SC Corinthians Paulista vs. Independiente Santa Fe end in a draw? BUY Yes 12¢ $150 57d
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-04-15? BUY Yes 17¢ $150 57d
Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-14? BUY Yes 52¢ $185 58d
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-04-12? BUY Yes 22¢ $339 61d
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg end in a draw? BUY Yes 24¢ $150 61d
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $33 61d
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $6 61d
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $8 61d
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $8 61d
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $23 61d
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $3 61d
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $8 61d
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $8 61d
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 61d
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $8 61d
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $8 61d
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $8 61d
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $31 61d
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-04-12? BUY Yes 30¢ $1 61d
Spread: FC Andorra (-1.5) BUY FC Andorra 20¢ $201 61d
AZ vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 40¢ $73 61d
AZ vs. SC Heerenveen: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 39¢ $27 61d
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: Both Teams to Score BUY Yes 44¢ $100 61d
Will Le Havre AC win on 2026-04-12? BUY Yes 25¢ $100 61d
Will CA Paranaense vs. Associação Chapecoense de Futebol end in a draw BUY Yes 13¢ $100 61d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +28%
net ROI/market (all)-13.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d no closed markets
≤30d no closed markets
≤90d 297 -20.9% -28.4% 22% 22% -24.0%
all 324 -4.6% -13.7% 28% 28% -13.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover7.3 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -13.7% 28% -13.2%
10% -22.0% 28% -21.5%
15% -29.5% 27% -29.1%
20% -36.4% 27% -36.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $72.25 · official $72.25 (match) · 1083 history records