trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | no closed markets | |||||
| ≤30d | 3 | +44.1% | +30.4% | 67% | 67% | -7.4% |
| ≤90d | 3 | +44.1% | +30.4% | 67% | 67% | -7.4% |
| all | 11 | +2.9% | -6.9% | 64% | 18% | -10.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -6.9% | 18% | -10.3% |
| 10% | -15.8% | 18% | -18.9% |
| 15% | -24.0% | 9% | -26.7% |
| 20% | -31.4% | 9% | -33.9% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel withdraws from Lebanon by July 31, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | $40 | $41 | +$0 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? | May 25 | $1 | $0 | +26% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | May 25 | $20 | +$1 | +3% |
| Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by Ma | May 25 | $32 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion? | Jun 26 | $9 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will Kim Moon-soo be elected the next president of South Korea? | Jun 05 | $9 | $0 | +3% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2025 NBA Finals? | May 30 | $1 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Putin meet with Trump in first 100 days? | May 06 | $1 | $0 | +3% |
| Will Elon tweet 575-599 times March 14-21? | Mar 22 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the Eastern Conference? | Mar 19 | $11 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 15 | $12 | $0 | -0% |