Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T14:07:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

74
0x74ef…6b5e
crypto · 281 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$2,457 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,457 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$2,457
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)23%
Wins / losses175 / 585
Open positions0
Markets (closed)760 / 281
History coverage8d
Avg bet$41
Trades / day389.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 760 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,087
7 days−$2,175
14 days−$2,457
30 days−$2,457
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 17¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 19¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Down 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 4AM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 13¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 1PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 12:00AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$3 -333%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$2 -3472%
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 29, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 4AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 30, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$5 -309%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$3 -495%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 8AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
XRP Up or Down - May 30, 8AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 30, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$326
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 24¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 28¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 17¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-68.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 720 -67.6% -70.7% 22% 7% -28.6%
≤30d 760 -64.7% -68.0% 23% 8% -25.8%
≤90d 760 -64.7% -68.0% 23% 8% -25.8%
all 760 -64.7% -68.0% 23% 8% -25.8%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover389.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -68.0% 8% -25.8%
10% ← realistic here -71.1% 3% -32.9%
15% -73.9% 2% -39.4%
20% -76.4% 1% -45.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records