Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:28:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

74
0x74f9…6024
sports · 613 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$63 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$54 · open +$9
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$283
Realized+$54
Unrealized+$9
Win rate (resolved)42%
Wins / losses248 / 344
Est. fees paid−$79
Open positions20
Markets (closed)592 / 613
History coverage51d
Avg bet$24
Trades / day55.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 20 History 592 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$423
7 days−$316
14 days+$32
30 days+$151
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Tessa Brockmann vs Alycia Parks Alycia Parks 20¢ 23¢ $39 $46 +$7 (+17%)
Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. Qatar: O/U 0.5 Over 93¢ 92¢ $37 $37 −$0 (-1%)
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 74¢ 76¢ $30 $30 +$0 (+1%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 72¢ 100¢ $14 $20 +$6 (+39%)
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? Yes 82¢ 100¢ $16 $20 +$4 (+22%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5 Under 95¢ 94¢ $19 $19 −$0 (-2%)
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? No 82¢ 84¢ $16 $17 +$0 (+2%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5 Under 92¢ 70¢ $18 $14 −$4 (-24%)
Halle Open: Ben Shelton vs Nick Kyrgios Ben Shelton 65¢ 66¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+1%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers Milwaukee Brewers 49¢ 57¢ $10 $12 +$2 (+17%)
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees New York Yankees 46¢ 56¢ $9 $11 +$2 (+23%)
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 45¢ 52¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+14%)
Cabo Verde vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 4.5 Under 90¢ 89¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5 Over 8¢ 18¢ $3 $7 +$4 (+125%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 63¢ 56¢ $6 $5 −$1 (-10%)
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 17¢ 24¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+44%)
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? Yes 3¢ 4¢ $2 $4 +$1 (+59%)
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Vit Kopriva Vit Kopriva 6¢ 8¢ $1 $2 +$0 (+25%)
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix? Yes 5¢ 4¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-18%)
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. SSG Landers SSG Landers 49¢ 50¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+2%)
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs MASQ 4¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Samsung Lions SSG Landers 25¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
KBO: NC Dinos vs. KT Wiz NC Dinos 18¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
ITF kiseljak: Vladyslav Orlov vs Alen Mujakic Alen Mujakic 18¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 Under 20¢ 0¢ $14 $0 −$14 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 14 $121 +$16 +14%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $15 +$28 +188%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $38 +$2 +6%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $44 +$36 +83%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $24 +$16 +65%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -97%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $0 $0 -97%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 13 $0 $0 -97%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $13 +$7 +58%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 5.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $56 +$4 +8%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $15 +$6 +42%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5 Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $10 −$9 -93%
Lyon: Daniel Galan vs Felix Balshaw Jun 13 $14 +$6 +47%
Ilkley: Jacob Fearnley vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $7 −$7 -98%
ITF Los Angeles: Andrew Johnson vs Spencer Johnson Jun 13 $55 −$14 -26%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Daniel Evans vs Marcos Giron Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Ilkley: Mary Stoiana vs Celine Naef Jun 13 $31 −$1 -2%
Tucuman: Johan Alexander Rodriguez vs Nicolas Kicker Jun 13 $12 +$2 +16%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $17 +$9 +53%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Jun 13 $1 −$1 -97%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Tristan Boyer Jun 13 $34 +$16 +48%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $24 +$14 +60%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $19 −$5 -26%
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Sean Cuenin vs Branko Djuric Jun 13 $16 +$4 +21%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Michael Mmo Jun 13 $30 +$20 +68%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Caty McNally vs Mika Stojsavljevic Jun 13 $84 −$14 -17%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $26 −$5 -21%
ITF Nyiregyhaza: Oscar Jose Gutierrez vs Yannik Kelm Jun 13 $88 +$12 +14%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
Halle Open, Qualification: Mattia Bellucci vs Mikhail Kukushkin Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $123 −$3 -2%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Hannah Klugman vs Anastasia Zakharova Jun 13 $13 +$7 +55%
Counter-Strike: MASQ vs Washed (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $3 −$3 -97%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp Jun 13 $38 +$2 +6%
Halle Open, Qualification: Jamie Mackenzie vs Alex Bolt Jun 13 $11 −$9 -75%
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twins Jun 13 $23 −$3 -12%
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kiwoom Heroes Jun 13 $20 $0 +0%
Ilkley: Dane Sweeny vs Toby Samuel Jun 13 $23 −$3 -13%
Libema Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Marin Cilic Jun 13 $36 −$4 -11%
Ilkley: Darwin Blanch vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 13 $39 −$3 -8%
Ilkley: Oliver Tarvet vs Filippo Romano Jun 13 $20 −$9 -45%
Nottingham Open, Qualification: Emiliana Arango vs Anna Bondar Jun 13 $14 +$1 +7%
Ilkley: Mark Lajal vs Yunchaokete Bu Jun 13 $19 +$1 +4%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $61 +$39 +65%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 50% +$123
crypto 34% −$242
weather 11% +$142
other 5% +$42
world 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5 BUY Over 8¢ $2 1m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 211.5 BUY Over 8¢ $2 5m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 205.5 BUY Under 92¢ $18 6m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5 BUY Under 95¢ $10 9m
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 208.5 BUY Under 95¢ $10 9m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 63¢ $6 20m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 20m
Will Haiti win on 2026-06-19? BUY Yes 4¢ $1 21m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 12¢ $2 35m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 11¢ $1 57m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 13¢ $3 58m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 40¢ $8 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun SELL Connecticut Sun 4¢ $1 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Connecticut Sun 27¢ $6 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 83¢ $17 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 79¢ $16 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Connecticut Sun 14¢ $1 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Connecticut Sun 14¢ $1 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Connecticut Sun 14¢ $1 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun SELL Indiana Fever 80¢ $14 1h
Cleveland Guardians vs. Milwaukee Brewers BUY Milwaukee Brewers 49¢ $10 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Connecticut Sun 18¢ $1 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 73¢ $15 1h
Will Brazil vs. Morocco end in a draw? BUY Yes 82¢ $16 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 66¢ $13 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 77¢ $15 1h
Chicago White Sox vs. New York Yankees BUY New York Yankees 46¢ $9 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 90¢ $18 2h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 89¢ $18 2h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5 BUY Over 1¢ $0 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 195 -44.0% -49.4% 30% 23% -18.3%
≤30d 369 -9.6% -18.2% 43% 31% -7.9%
≤90d 592 -7.1% -16.0% 42% 31% -9.2%
all 592 -7.1% -16.0% 42% 31% -9.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover55.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.0% 31% -9.2%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 23% -17.9%
15% -31.3% 19% -25.8%
20% -38.1% 17% -33.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $282.87 · official $282.70 (match) · 3500 history records