trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | -48.5% | -53.4% | 33% | 33% | -53.0% |
| ≤30d | 8 | -40.8% | -46.4% | 38% | 38% | -46.0% |
| ≤90d | 11 | -11.4% | -19.8% | 55% | 55% | -14.6% |
| all | 18 | -1.4% | -10.8% | 67% | 67% | -8.0% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.8% | 67% | -8.0% |
| 10% | -19.4% | 44% | -16.8% |
| 15% | -27.1% | 39% | -24.9% |
| 20% | -34.3% | 39% | -32.2% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Jun 21 | $1 | +$1 | +57% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $1 | +$1 | +52% |
| Will IR Iran win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $1 | −$1 | -99% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Bosnia-Herzegovina O/U 0.5 | Jun 12 | $1 | +$1 | +65% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? | Jun 12 | $1 | −$1 | -98% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-07? | Apr 07 | $1 | +$1 | +133% |
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026? | Apr 07 | $1 | $0 | +12% |
| Will Senegal win on 2026-03-28? | Mar 30 | $2 | +$1 | +56% |
| Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14? | Mar 19 | $2 | −$2 | -100% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15? | Mar 19 | $1 | $0 | +35% |
| Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-14? | Mar 14 | $1 | +$1 | +54% |
| Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-03-14? | Mar 14 | $1 | +$1 | +63% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-03? | Mar 03 | $3 | +$1 | +17% |
| Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-28? | Jan 29 | $5 | +$1 | +19% |
| Valorant: G2 Gozen vs GIANTX GC (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Group S | Jan 27 | $1 | $0 | +11% |