Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T08:17:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x7500…567f
other · 291 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$9,522 +39%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,608 · open −$50
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,793
Realized−$3,608
Unrealized−$50
Win rate (resolved)13%
Wins / losses77 / 536
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$28
Open positions21
Markets (closed)613 / 291
History coverage50d
Avg bet$85
Trades / day67.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit47%
Chart Positions 21 History 613 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7,957
7 days−$8,107
14 days−$7,922
30 days−$6,169
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1? Yes 16¢ 92¢ $221 $1,262 +$1,041 (+471%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? Yes 21¢ 8¢ $422 $152 −$270 (-64%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $255 $141 −$114 (-45%)
Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 9¢ 7¢ $132 $105 −$27 (-20%)
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $163 $34 −$129 (-79%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $364 $26 −$337 (-93%)
Will Alex Pereira be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 2¢ 5¢ $5 $13 +$7 (+143%)
Will Charles Oliveira be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 2¢ 7¢ $3 $11 +$8 (+256%)
Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1? Yes 7¢ 1¢ $55 $10 −$44 (-82%)
Will Caio Borralho be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $9 $9 −$0 (-3%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1? Yes 4¢ 2¢ $19 $9 −$10 (-53%)
Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 7¢ 7¢ $8 $8 +$0 (+0%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $27 $4 −$23 (-85%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1? Yes 3¢ 0¢ $133 $2 −$131 (-98%)
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 9¢ 4¢ $5 $2 −$3 (-55%)
Will Jared Cannonier be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+39%)
Will Jiří Procházka be the UFC Light Heavyweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 6¢ 1¢ $14 $2 −$12 (-89%)
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 7¢ 2¢ $3 $1 −$3 (-76%)
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? Yes 33¢ 4¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-88%)
Will Max Holloway be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-50%)
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-99%)
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will the US strike Iran next? Yes 0¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Will MrBeast say "Island" during his next video? Yes 6¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 Jun 14 $1 $0 -6%
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the US strike Iran next? Jun 14 $20 −$19 -93%
Will MrBeast say "Island" during his next video? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will Zelenskyy post 100-119 posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will MrBeast's latest video get 24 million or more views on day 1? Jun 14 $21 −$19 -89%
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026? Jun 14 $47 −$47 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? Jun 14 $52 −$52 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026? Jun 14 $35 −$33 -95%
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1? Jun 14 $0 −$5 -94168%
Will Ted Cruz post 200+ posts from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 3 to April Jun 14 $82 −$82 -100%
Will MrBeast's video get between 84 and 85 million views on day 6? Jun 14 $0 $0 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 17°C on March 16? Jun 14 $21 −$21 -97%
Will "Donald" or "Trump" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience epi Jun 14 $6 −$6 -96%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 Jun 14 $10 −$18 -186%
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" 6th Weekend Box Office be less than 8.5m? Jun 14 $0 −$1 -300%
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" in Corpus Christi on Jun 14 $14 −$14 -100%
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 11? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Will Trump say "Pulitzer Prize" in March? Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? Jun 14 $56 −$48 -85%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 25°C on April 4? Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 26°C on April 1? Jun 14 $16 −$16 -100%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 70 and 80 million views on week Jun 14 $8 −$30 -351%
Will Donald Trump post 180-199 Truth Social posts from April 21 to Apr Jun 14 $29 −$29 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026? Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Will Donald Trump post 40-59 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April Jun 14 $17 −$27 -165%
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from April 7 to Apri Jun 14 $105 −$105 -100%
Will CZ post 100-119 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026? Jun 14 $0 $0 -94%
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026? Jun 14 $66 −$87 -131%
Will Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua have no official winner? Jun 14 $3 −$14 -413%
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026? Jun 14 $72 −$70 -97%
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026? Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Will 'Don't Be Dumb' debut week album sales be between 175k and 200k? Jun 14 $14 −$34 -249%
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026? Jun 14 $18 −$18 -101%
Will TIME's Person of the Year for 2025 be a human? Jun 14 $0 −$8 -5104%
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from April 7 to April Jun 14 $1 −$31 -2206%
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026? Jun 14 $50 −$51 -103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 12AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -67%
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 20 Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Trump say "Kid" or "Child" 10+ times during remarks on January 28 Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1 Jun 14 $9 −$24 -276%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 9PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? Jun 14 $203 −$199 -98%
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026? Jun 14 $4 −$3 -83%
Will Charles Oliveira win by KO or TKO? Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Will Trump say "Make America Great Again" this week? (April 19) Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Will Trump say "China" 3+ times during tech signing event on Wednesday Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Will the US next strike Iran on February 17, 2026 (ET)? Jun 14 $12 −$12 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 54% +$3,787
other 40% +$397
sports 5% +$802
crypto 1% +$136
weather 0% −$53
world 0% −$17
tech 0% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1 BUY Yes 3¢ $2 18m
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1 BUY Yes 2¢ $10 32m
Will Caio Borralho be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 20 SELL Yes 2¢ $4 35m
Will Sean Strickland be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, SELL No 37¢ $4 35m
Will MrBeast's next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week SELL Yes 2¢ $1 36m
O/U 1.5 Rounds SELL Over 48¢ $5 36m
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1 BUY Yes 5¢ $47 41m
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1 BUY Yes 0¢ $9 51m
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 BUY Yes 12¢ $40 51m
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1 SELL Yes 5¢ $96 53m
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 BUY Yes 10¢ $1 57m
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1 BUY Yes 5¢ $9 1h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 BUY Yes 8¢ $3 1h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 BUY Yes 8¢ $3 1h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1 SELL Yes 61¢ $15 2h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1 BUY Yes 10¢ $2 3h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1 BUY Yes 17¢ $10 3h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1 BUY Yes 17¢ $2 3h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1 BUY Yes 17¢ $15 3h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1 BUY Yes 17¢ $2 3h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1 BUY Yes 16¢ $15 3h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1 BUY Yes 17¢ $2 3h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1 BUY Yes 17¢ $5 3h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 20 and 25 million views on day 1 BUY Yes 8¢ $18 3h
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL Yes 1¢ $69 3h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 BUY Yes 25¢ $83 3h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 BUY Yes 10¢ $1 3h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 BUY Yes 11¢ $2 3h
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1 BUY Yes 11¢ $2 3h
Will MrBeast's next video get less than 20 million views on day 1? BUY Yes 0¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +12%
net ROI/market (all)-37.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 384 -47.8% -52.8% 7% 7% -71.7%
≤30d 459 -39.2% -45.0% 10% 10% -34.4%
≤90d 613 -30.4% -37.0% 13% 12% -16.5%
all 613 -30.4% -37.0% 13% 12% -16.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover67.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -37.0% 12% -16.5%
10% ← realistic here -43.0% 12% -24.5%
15% -48.5% 12% -31.8%
20% -53.6% 11% -38.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,793.06 · official $1,823.39 · 3500 history records