trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +159.2% | +134.5% | 100% | 100% | +152.4% |
| ≤30d | 5 | +323.7% | +283.3% | 60% | 60% | +48.2% |
| ≤90d | 8 | +187.2% | +159.8% | 38% | 38% | +23.6% |
| all | 37 | +40.5% | +27.1% | 46% | 43% | -21.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +27.1% | 43% | -21.5% |
| 10% | +14.9% | 41% | -29.0% |
| 15% | +3.8% | 41% | -35.9% |
| 20% | -6.4% | 32% | -42.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITF Maanshan: Jiaqi Wang vs Jiayu Xu | Jiaqi Wang | 92¢ | 90¢ | $46 | $45 | −$1 (-3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox | Jun 23 | $28 | +$72 | +257% |
| Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Colorado Rockies | Jun 21 | $19 | +$11 | +61% |
| St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins | Jun 13 | $70 | −$70 | -100% |
| Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | Jun 13 | $5 | +$72 | +1500% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET | May 27 | $5 | −$5 | -94% |
| Canadiens vs. Hurricanes | May 22 | $24 | −$2 | -9% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET | May 19 | $1 | $0 | -9% |
| Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 14, 2026? | Apr 10 | $26 | −$14 | -52% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET | Mar 20 | $24 | +$3 | +12% |
| Spurs vs. Clippers: O/U 234.5 | Mar 17 | $1 | $0 | +48% |
| Will Laura Virginia Fernández Delgado win the 2026 Costa Rican preside | Jan 26 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Cavaliers | Jan 10 | $225 | −$225 | -100% |
| Rangers vs. Bruins | Jan 10 | $470 | −$470 | -100% |
| Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10? | Jan 10 | $390 | −$390 | -100% |
| Bucks vs. Lakers | Jan 10 | $480 | +$520 | +108% |
| Wild vs. Kraken | Jan 09 | $354 | +$246 | +70% |
| Miami vs. Ole Miss | Jan 09 | $648 | −$648 | -100% |
| Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-07? | Jan 08 | $280 | +$720 | +257% |
| Nuggets vs. Celtics | Jan 07 | $456 | −$456 | -100% |
| Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-01-07? | Jan 07 | $300 | −$300 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Pacers | Jan 07 | $670 | +$330 | +49% |
| Mavericks vs. Kings | Jan 07 | $370 | −$370 | -100% |
| Hawks vs. Raptors | Jan 06 | $600 | +$400 | +67% |
| Ducks vs. Capitals | Jan 05 | $440 | −$440 | -100% |
| Lions vs. Bears | Jan 05 | $360 | +$640 | +178% |
| Pacers vs. Magic | Jan 04 | $310 | −$310 | -100% |
| Colts vs. Texans | Jan 04 | $180 | −$180 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Heat | Jan 04 | $285 | +$215 | +75% |
| Magic vs. Bulls | Jan 03 | $75 | +$225 | +300% |
| 76ers vs. Mavericks | Jan 01 | $900 | −$900 | -100% |
| Nuggets vs. Raptors | Jan 01 | $290 | +$710 | +245% |
| Celtics vs. Jazz | Dec 31 | $216 | +$84 | +39% |
| Suns vs. Wizards | Dec 29 | $210 | −$210 | -100% |
| Raptors vs. Wizards | Dec 26 | $222 | −$222 | -100% |
| Timberwolves vs. Nuggets | Dec 26 | $500 | −$500 | -100% |
| Cavaliers vs. Knicks | Dec 26 | $330 | +$170 | +52% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch? | Dec 25 | $9 | $0 | +1% |