Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:31:12+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x751a…9ea1
crypto · 28 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$230,178 +16%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$228,832 · open +$180
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY ⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Chart Positions 18 History 23 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$228,832
7 days+$228,832
14 days+$228,832
30 days+$228,832
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June? No 91¢ 94¢ $8,072 $8,327 +$255 (+3%)
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET Down 100¢ 100¢ $3,748 $3,750 +$2 (+0%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in June? No 88¢ 95¢ $3,340 $3,594 +$255 (+8%)
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? No 50¢ 56¢ $505 $567 +$62 (+12%)
Will Solana dip to $50 in June? No 82¢ 93¢ $395 $451 +$55 (+14%)
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in June? No 94¢ 97¢ $173 $178 +$5 (+3%)
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes 65¢ 17¢ $582 $152 −$430 (-74%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June? No 64¢ 72¢ $101 $115 +$13 (+13%)
Will Solana reach $90 in June? No 94¢ 97¢ $110 $113 +$3 (+2%)
Will Solana reach $70 on June 12? No 84¢ 90¢ $53 $57 +$4 (+8%)
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5) Tampa Bay Rays 58¢ 28¢ $87 $42 −$45 (-52%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June? No 87¢ 95¢ $16 $18 +$2 (+10%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June? No 82¢ 85¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+3%)
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June? No 89¢ 90¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in June? No 89¢ 82¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-8%)
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 in June? No 80¢ 64¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-21%)
XRP Up or Down - February 24, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 93¢ 97¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+5%)
Will XRP reach $1.40 in June? No 81¢ 89¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+10%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $582 +$6 +1%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $699,300 +$700 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $8,831 +$89 +1%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $11,948 +$12 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 12 $151 +$2 +1%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 12 $50,000 $0 +0%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 12.5 Jun 12 $297 +$3 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $267 +$5 +2%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $99 +$1 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7PM ET Jun 12 $2,158 +$20 +1%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $318,640 +$319 +0%
HYPE Up or Down - June 11, 6PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$8 +351%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $25,601 +$26 +0%
HYPE Up or Down - June 11, 5PM ET Jun 11 $2 +$4 +252%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $111,902 +$112 +0%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 11 $108,587 +$191,413 +176%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 11 $28,207 +$36,002 +128%
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 on June 11? Jun 11 $16 $0 +1%
Opendoor (OPEN) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $477 +$8 +2%
Palantir (PLTR) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $21 $0 +1%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $90,410 +$91 +0%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Miami Marlins Jun 11 $8,226 +$8 +0%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $3,782 +$4 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 69% +$1,148
sports 30% +$227,670
crypto 1% +$194
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Solana dip to $50 in June? SELL No 94¢ $47 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $582 45m
Will Solana dip to $60 in June? BUY No 54¢ $6 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 2, 10PM ET BUY Down 100¢ $3,748 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 in June? SELL No 93¢ $11 1h
Will Solana dip to $50 in June? SELL No 94¢ $29 3h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 100¢ $5,179 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 100¢ $12 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 100¢ $13 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 100¢ $13 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 100¢ $13 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 100¢ $158 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 100¢ $8 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 100¢ $14 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 100¢ $27 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 100¢ $102 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 100¢ $26 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 100¢ $270 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 100¢ $3 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 100¢ $5 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 100¢ $1 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 100¢ $14 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 100¢ $83 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 100¢ $13 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 100¢ $131 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 100¢ $28 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 100¢ $60 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 100¢ $11 4h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 100¢ $198 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +17%
net ROI/market (all)+26.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 +40.0% +26.7% 96% 17% +4.6%
≤30d 23 +40.0% +26.7% 96% 17% +4.6%
≤90d 23 +40.0% +26.7% 96% 17% +4.6%
all 23 +40.0% +26.7% 96% 17% +4.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3473.0 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to15%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +26.7% 17% +4.6%
10% +14.5% 17% -5.4%
15% ← realistic here +3.5% 17% -14.6%
20% -6.7% 17% -23.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $17,394.19 · official $17,394.20 (match) · 3500 history records