trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 10 | +12.1% | +1.5% | 50% | 40% | +2.0% |
| ≤30d | 13 | +7.7% | -2.5% | 54% | 38% | +3.5% |
| ≤90d | 19 | +17.1% | +5.9% | 53% | 42% | +4.3% |
| all | 22 | +17.2% | +6.1% | 55% | 41% | +3.9% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | +6.1% | 41% | +3.9% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -4.1% | 41% | -6.1% |
| 15% | -13.4% | 41% | -15.1% |
| 20% | -21.9% | 41% | -23.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spain reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 61¢ | 56¢ | $4,784 | $4,384 | −$400 (-8%) |
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Yes | 58¢ | 78¢ | $3,000 | $4,060 | +$1,060 (+35%) |
| World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? | Yes | 73¢ | 76¢ | $3,139 | $3,246 | +$108 (+3%) |
| Will Germany reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 70¢ | 76¢ | $2,030 | $2,190 | +$160 (+8%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $3,716 | −$229 | -6% |
| Will France win on 2026-06-16? AND Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16? A | Jun 17 | $1,021 | +$2,451 | +240% |
| Argentina vs. Algeria: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $3,250 | +$3,416 | +105% |
| Will Austria vs. Jordan end in a draw? | Jun 17 | $1,024 | −$1,000 | -98% |
| Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador: O/U 2.5 | Jun 14 | $3,218 | −$3,153 | -98% |
| Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 2.5 | Jun 13 | $3,039 | −$3,000 | -99% |
| Will United States win on 2026-06-12? | Jun 13 | $3,048 | +$3,335 | +109% |
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $3,037 | +$2,048 | +67% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 11 | $5,369 | +$301 | +6% |
| Exact Score: Mexico 2 - 1 South Africa? | Jun 11 | $700 | −$682 | -97% |
| Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League? | May 30 | $5,873 | +$4,127 | +70% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 0.5 | May 30 | $2,635 | +$228 | +9% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | May 29 | $2,387 | −$2,350 | -98% |
| Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | Apr 29 | $2,187 | −$322 | -15% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5 | Apr 29 | $2,437 | +$2,107 | +86% |
| DeepSeek V4 released by April 30? | Apr 28 | $2,741 | +$1,380 | +50% |
| Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 14 | $16,856 | −$293 | -2% |
| Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League? | Apr 14 | $2,135 | −$896 | -42% |
| Will Xi Jinping meet with Cheng Li-wun by June 30? | Apr 10 | $1,837 | +$2,670 | +145% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March? | Mar 18 | $3 | +$3 | +108% |
| Will Trump visit China by March 31? | Mar 18 | $404 | −$248 | -61% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March? | Mar 17 | $10 | +$1 | +8% |