Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:39:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x752e…2482
other · 257 markets active 2h ago
0.0score
−$99 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$99 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$99
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)2%
Wins / losses6 / 251
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)257 / 257
History coverage134d
Avg bet$212
Trades / day10.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit63%
Chart Positions 0 History 257 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6
7 days−$15
14 days−$26
30 days−$39
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $174 $0 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $214 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 12 $678 −$1 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 12 $198 $0 -0%
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 11 $104 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 11 $405 −$1 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $453 −$1 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $579 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 11 $367 −$1 -0%
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 11 $285 $0 -0%
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 11 $52 $0 -0%
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 10 $146 $0 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $288 −$1 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $182 −$1 -0%
Will the Baltimore Orioles win the 2026 World Series? Jun 10 $199 $0 -0%
Will Ronaldo Caiado win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 10 $122 $0 -0%
Will Diosdado Cabello Rondón be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Jun 09 $477 −$1 -0%
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 09 $204 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 09 $287 $0 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $425 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $379 −$1 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $269 $0 -0%
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? Jun 08 $263 $0 -0%
Will the International Court of Justice win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2 Jun 08 $54 $0 -0%
Will Greta Thunberg win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 08 $180 −$1 -0%
Will Lando Norris be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 07 $236 $0 -0%
Will Eduardo Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 07 $665 −$1 -0%
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $354 $0 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $328 −$1 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 06 $119 $0 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 06 $112 $0 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 05 $327 −$1 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $123 $0 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Jun 05 $365 −$1 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 05 $448 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $521 −$1 -0%
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 04 $56 $0 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $404 −$1 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 04 $109 $0 -0%
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 03 $573 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 03 $148 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 02 $389 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 02 $254 $0 -0%
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $577 −$1 -0%
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? May 31 $480 −$1 -0%
GTA VI released before June 2026? May 31 $256 $0 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 31 $406 −$1 -0%
Will the Chicago Bears win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $59 $0 -0%
Will New York Red Bulls win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 31 $316 −$1 -0%
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 30 $346 −$1 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 47% −$42
sports 24% −$29
politics 7% −$8
culture 7% −$8
economics 5% −$5
crypto 5% −$5
world 3% −$2
tech 1% −$1
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $51 1h
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $51 3h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $51 4h
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $51 5h
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $51 11h
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $51 12h
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 99¢ $51 14h
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 99¢ $51 16h
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $51 17h
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $51 19h
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $51 21h
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $51 23h
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $51 24h
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $51 27h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $51 27h
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $52 28h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 100¢ $52 30h
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY No 100¢ $52 32h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $52 34h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $52 36h
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 98¢ $52 41h
Will Romeu Zema win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 98¢ $52 42h
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $52 44h
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $52 45h
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? SELL No 97¢ $52 47h
Will New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? BUY No 97¢ $52 2d
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $52 2d
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 98¢ $52 2d
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 98¢ $52 2d
Will the Pittsburgh Pirates win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $52 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 32 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 79 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 190 -0.2% -9.7% 1% 0% -9.7%
all 257 -0.2% -9.7% 2% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover10.1 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.5% 0% -33.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1416 history records