Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:37:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x7534…8c4d
crypto · 564 markets active 0h ago
1.0score
−$23 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$23 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized−$23
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses442 / 122
Open positions0
Markets (closed)564 / 564
Avg bet$2
Trades / day2.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 564 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$4
7 days−$23
14 days−$23
30 days−$23
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 56¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Down 93¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Down 78¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 -14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -87%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$23
tech 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $1 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $1 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET SELL Up 98¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 92¢ $2 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $1 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET SELL Down 38¢ $1 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $1 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET SELL Down 96¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $1 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 92¢ $1 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET SELL Up 95¢ $1 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 29m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $2 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 42m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET SELL Up 17¢ $0 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $1 52m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 53m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 95¢ $1 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET SELL Down 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-10.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 562 -1.4% -10.8% 78% 46% -12.0%
≤30d 562 -1.4% -10.8% 78% 46% -12.0%
≤90d 562 -1.4% -10.8% 78% 46% -12.0%
all 564 -1.3% -10.7% 78% 46% -11.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.3 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.7% 46% -11.9%
10% -19.3% 20% -20.4%
15% -27.1% 9% -28.1%
20% -34.2% 2% -35.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1478 history records