trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 2.5 | Over | 43¢ | 42¢ | $130 | $128 | −$2 (-1%) |
| NEC vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5 | Over | 75¢ | 0¢ | $192 | $0 | −$192 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | Down | 76¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25? | Yes | 57¢ | 0¢ | $99 | $0 | −$99 (-100%) |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | Up | 48¢ | 0¢ | $10 | $0 | −$10 (-100%) |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Over | 44¢ | 0¢ | $145 | $0 | −$145 (-100%) |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | Over | 53¢ | 0¢ | $148 | $0 | −$148 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 | Jun 12 | $184 | +$246 | +134% |
| Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 | Jun 11 | $148 | −$145 | -98% |
| Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 | May 30 | $150 | −$148 | -99% |
| Will Paderborn win on 2026-05-25? | May 25 | $100 | −$99 | -99% |
| NEC vs. Go Ahead Eagles: O/U 3.5 | May 17 | $194 | −$192 | -99% |
| Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5 | May 17 | $135 | +$59 | +43% |
| Manchester United FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5 | May 17 | $93 | +$42 | +46% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET | Feb 10 | $49 | −$49 | -100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET | Feb 09 | $49 | $0 | -0% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET | Feb 09 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET | Feb 09 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET | Feb 09 | $10 | +$6 | +57% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET | Feb 09 | $10 | −$10 | -98% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET | Feb 09 | $20 | +$1 | +3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET | Feb 09 | $62 | +$1 | +1% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | +17.0% | +5.9% | 50% | 50% | +18.2% |
| ≤30d | 7 | -25.3% | -32.4% | 43% | 43% | -31.1% |
| ≤90d | 7 | -25.3% | -32.4% | 43% | 43% | -31.1% |
| all | 15 | -27.6% | -34.5% | 47% | 27% | -31.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -34.5% | 27% | -31.6% |
| 10% | -40.8% | 27% | -38.1% |
| 15% | -46.5% | 27% | -44.1% |
| 20% | -51.8% | 13% | -49.6% |