Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T05:48:21+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x7557…e9bd
other · 247 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$81 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$90 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$90
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)7%
Wins / losses17 / 230
Whale WR (big bets)0%
Est. fees paid−$9
Open positions0
Markets (closed)247 / 247
History coverage132d
Avg bet$214
Trades / day9.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit62%
Chart Positions 0 History 247 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$7
7 days−$16
14 days−$25
30 days−$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 14 $60 $0 -0%
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 14 $119 $0 -0%
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 13 $644 −$1 -0%
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 13 $547 −$1 -0%
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 13 $152 $0 -0%
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? Jun 13 $318 −$1 -0%
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 13 $551 −$1 -0%
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 12 $437 −$1 -0%
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $442 −$1 -0%
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? Jun 12 $306 $0 -0%
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Jun 12 $409 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? Jun 11 $474 −$1 -0%
Will Elon Musk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 11 $397 −$1 -0%
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 11 $554 −$1 -0%
Will Mohammed bin Salman win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 10 $413 −$1 -0%
Will Charlotte FC win the 2026 MLS Cup? Jun 10 $312 −$1 -0%
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $197 $0 -0%
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 09 $164 $0 -0%
Will Ghana win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 09 $622 −$1 -0%
Will Katie Porter win the California Governor Election in 2026? Jun 08 $129 $0 -0%
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 08 $709 −$1 -0%
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Jun 08 $62 $0 -0%
Will the Boston Red Sox win the 2026 World Series? Jun 07 $494 −$1 -0%
Will Michelle Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? Jun 07 $208 $0 -0%
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 07 $145 $0 -0%
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 06 $486 −$1 -0%
Will the Detroit Tigers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 06 $262 −$1 -0%
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series? Jun 05 $274 −$1 -0%
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? Jun 05 $377 −$1 -0%
Will the Washington Commanders win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 05 $369 −$1 -0%
Will the Tampa Bay Buccaneers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $284 −$1 -0%
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series? Jun 04 $127 $0 -0%
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $64 $0 -0%
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 04 $138 $0 -0%
Will Khaled Mashal win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? Jun 03 $284 $0 -0%
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Jun 03 $526 −$1 -0%
Will Scotland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $422 $0 -0%
Will the Kansas City Royals win the 2026 World Series? Jun 03 $134 $0 -0%
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 03 $209 $0 -0%
Will the Carolina Panthers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Jun 02 $284 −$1 -0%
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 01 $171 $0 -0%
Will the Miami Dolphins win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 31 $66 $0 -0%
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? May 31 $309 $0 -0%
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? May 30 $669 −$1 -0%
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? May 29 $420 −$1 -0%
Will Orlando City SC win the 2026 MLS Cup? May 28 $136 $0 -0%
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series? May 28 $474 −$1 -0%
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? May 27 $493 −$1 -0%
Will the New York Giants win the 2027 NFL league championship? May 26 $223 $0 -0%
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? May 26 $154 $0 -0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 43% −$39
sports 25% −$24
culture 8% −$10
politics 8% −$6
economics 6% −$6
crypto 5% −$4
world 4% −$4
tech 1% +$2
finance 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? SELL No 100¢ $60 1h
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? BUY No 100¢ $60 3h
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $60 4h
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $60 6h
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? SELL No 100¢ $60 6h
Will Isack Hadjar be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? BUY No 100¢ $60 7h
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $60 10h
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $60 11h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $60 13h
Will Xi Jinping win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $60 14h
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? SELL No 97¢ $60 16h
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? BUY No 97¢ $60 17h
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 97¢ $60 19h
Will the Chicago Cubs win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 97¢ $60 20h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 98¢ $60 28h
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 98¢ $60 30h
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? SELL No 99¢ $60 31h
Will Charlie Kirk win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? BUY No 99¢ $61 32h
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? SELL No 100¢ $60 34h
Will Tarcisio de Freitas win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? BUY No 100¢ $61 36h
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $61 40h
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $61 42h
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? SELL No 99¢ $61 43h
Will the Cincinnati Reds win the 2026 World Series? BUY No 99¢ $61 45h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? SELL No 94¢ $61 46h
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? BUY No 94¢ $61 2d
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? SELL No 100¢ $61 2d
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY No 100¢ $61 2d
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? SELL No 100¢ $61 2d
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? BUY No 100¢ $61 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 24 -0.2% -9.7% 0% 0% -9.7%
≤30d 65 -0.2% -9.7% 2% 0% -9.7%
≤90d 182 -0.2% -9.7% 3% 0% -9.7%
all 247 -0.2% -9.7% 7% 0% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover9.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.7% 0% -9.7%
10% -18.3% 0% -18.3%
15% -26.2% 0% -26.2%
20% -33.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1306 history records