Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:49:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x755a…6da6
sports · 1570 markets active 0h ago
3.5score
+$1,607 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$363 · open +$78
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$233
Realized+$363
Unrealized+$78
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses838 / 727
Est. fees paid−$410
Open positions5
Markets (closed)1565 / 1570
History coverage42d
Avg bet$22
Trades / day44.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%
Chart Positions 5 History 1565 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$380
7 days+$119
14 days+$901
30 days−$208
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 FUT Esports 44¢ 100¢ $31 $70 +$39 (+127%)
Spread: Maccabi Raanana (-3.5) Hapoel Galil Elyon 50¢ 100¢ $35 $70 +$35 (+99%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 49¢ 96¢ $34 $67 +$33 (+97%)
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BetBoom Team 37¢ 19¢ $33 $17 −$16 (-48%)
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BetBoom Team 24¢ 10¢ $21 $8 −$13 (-60%)
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Under 22¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 73¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire Dallas Wings 69¢ 0¢ $48 $0 −$48 (-100%)
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Phoenix Mercury 24¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas Fenerbahce 30¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-9.5) PortlandFire 74¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Partizan vs. BC Dubai Partizan 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: OLDBOYS- vs Donstu Esports (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs Donstu Esports 35¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Ursa vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Stage Leo Team 36¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Over 29¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner MOUZ 22¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Map Handicap: HERO.A (-1.5) vs RUSTEC (+1.5) HEROIC Academy 25¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: against All authority vs Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner against All authority 33¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Spirit 43¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Barcelona vs. La Laguna Tenerife La Laguna Tenerife 13¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) PARIVISION 56¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 TheMongolz 27¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Under 51¢ 0¢ $36 $0 −$36 (-100%)
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) Indiana Fever 21¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5) Minnesota Lynx 26¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group Jun 14 $2 +$2 +65%
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $46 −$45 -98%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $50 −$50 -99%
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) Jun 14 $35 +$36 +105%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury Jun 14 $20 −$20 -98%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $50 +$16 +32%
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $55 −$55 -99%
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire Jun 14 $48 −$48 -99%
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces Jun 14 $20 −$20 -98%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $45 −$45 -99%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 Jun 14 $36 +$34 +97%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Jun 14 $50 +$15 +31%
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5) Jun 14 $3 −$3 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $35 +$36 +105%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners Jun 14 $22 +$18 +83%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 14 $17 +$17 +101%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) Jun 14 $2 −$2 -98%
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Switzerland leading at halftime? Jun 13 $31 +$8 +26%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 13.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $7 +$38 +550%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Jun 13 $50 +$15 +29%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $50 −$49 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners Jun 13 $6 −$6 -98%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score Jun 13 $10 −$10 -99%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $50 +$14 +27%
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Jun 13 $34 −$33 -98%
Counter-Strike: KOLESIE vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 13 $56 −$55 -98%
Will Seinajoen JK win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $8 +$9 +109%
Fenerbahce vs. Besiktas Jun 13 $3 −$3 -98%
FC Lahti vs. Seinajoen JK: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $30 −$30 -98%
Map Handicap: LGC (-1.5) vs PARIVISION (+1.5) Jun 13 $40 −$39 -99%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $42 +$28 +67%
Map Handicap: HERO.A (-1.5) vs RUSTEC (+1.5) Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 Jun 13 $13 +$12 +93%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 158.5 Jun 13 $24 +$14 +60%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5) Jun 13 $42 +$29 +70%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $50 +$17 +34%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $50 −$50 -99%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $37 −$36 -99%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $20 −$20 -98%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $49 +$21 +42%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $6 +$7 +119%
Canada vs. Bosnia-Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score in Second Half Jun 12 $4 +$1 +24%
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $20 −$20 -98%
Partizan vs. BC Dubai Jun 12 $72 −$13 -18%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) Jun 12 $32 +$39 +124%
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs GenOne (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group St Jun 12 $50 +$17 +34%
Map Handicap: OLDBOYS PL (-1.5) vs Donstu Esports (+1.5) Jun 12 $71 −$70 -98%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 12 $31 −$30 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% +$453
other 13% −$22
world 0% +$9
crypto 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner BUY BetBoom Team 24¢ $21 19m
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 46¢ $9 55m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 49¢ $35 1h
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs BetBoom Team (+1.5) BUY BetBoom Team 34¢ $24 1h
Spread: Maccabi Raanana (-3.5) BUY Hapoel Galil Elyon 50¢ $36 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY FUT Esports 44¢ $32 2h
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Leo Team (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Group BUY Leo Team 60¢ $2 3h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 15¢ $21 4h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY MOUZ 36¢ $25 4h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 Winner BUY illwill 71¢ $50 8h
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury BUY Phoenix Mercury 24¢ $20 13h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Under 48¢ $5 14h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 75¢ $50 14h
Dallas Wings vs. PortlandFire BUY Dallas Wings 69¢ $48 14h
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Under 80¢ $50 14h
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Minnesota Lynx 21¢ $20 14h
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) BUY Knicks 48¢ $35 15h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 64¢ $45 15h
1H Spread: Spurs (-4.5) BUY Knicks 36¢ $2 15h
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-2.5) BUY Minnesota Lynx 26¢ $3 16h
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) BUY Indiana Fever 21¢ $2 16h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 76¢ $50 16h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 BUY Under 50¢ $36 17h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 8.5 Total Corners BUY Under 48¢ $35 18h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 6.5 Total Corners BUY Under 18¢ $20 18h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 9.5 Total Corners BUY Under 54¢ $22 18h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 13.5 Total Corners BUY Under 15¢ $7 20h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY 9z 40¢ $29 20h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: Both Teams to Score in Second Half BUY No 77¢ $50 20h
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 10.5 Total Corners BUY Under 22¢ $6 20h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +53%
net ROI/market (all)-6.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 178 -0.1% -9.6% 54% 53% -7.2%
≤30d 795 +0.4% -9.1% 53% 53% -10.4%
≤90d 1565 +2.9% -6.9% 54% 53% -8.5%
all 1565 +2.9% -6.9% 54% 53% -8.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.9% 53% -8.5%
10% ← realistic here -15.8% 50% -17.3%
15% -23.9% 39% -25.3%
20% -31.4% 32% -32.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $232.55 · official $232.55 (match) · 3500 history records