Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T14:20:35+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

2.5
score
75 0x755d…d9eb crypto 1061 markets active 2d ago coverage 147d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge
✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL −$181 (-5%) realized −$181 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -12% what you keep after slip
Net edge-12%after slip
Net WR33%break-even
Win rate33%297W / 594L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day7.7pace
Kalshi-fit82%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days$0
7 days+$6
14 days+$654
30 days+$654
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 51% +$452
sports 35% −$306
other 13% +$99
economics 0% $0
tech 0% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +33%
net ROI/market (all)-8.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 48 -5.7% -14.7% 12% 12% -18.8%
≤30d 609 +21.2% +9.7% 38% 38% +8.6%
≤90d 609 +21.2% +9.7% 38% 38% +8.6%
all 891 +0.9% -8.7% 33% 33% -12.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover7.7 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.7% 33% -12.5%
10% -17.5% 31% -20.8%
15% -25.4% 29% -28.5%
20% -32.8% 27% -35.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 9% · top 2 18% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI +41% fresh edge ✓
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +1% · $-wt +8% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -8% → late +9% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$8 vs −$3 · ×2.24 wins bigger than losses
Profit factor
×1.12 profit barely above losses
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

147d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$181
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)33%
Wins / losses297 / 594
Open positions0
Markets (closed)891 / 1061
History coverage147d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day7.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit82%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 891 Trades
no open positions (500 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +15%
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $6 −$6 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 15 $3 −$3 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 11 $5 +$8 +146%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $11 −$10 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 11 $5 −$5 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $4 −$1 -31%
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -97%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 11 $2 −$2 -96%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$2 +97%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$31 +1464%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$65 +3021%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
BNB Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $21 +$16 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 10 $21 −$20 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 10 $21 +$16 +77%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 11¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $2 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $2 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $2 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 2¢ $2 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $2 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $2 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 2d
BNB Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 27¢ $3 2d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $3 2d
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 8¢ $3 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 10¢ $3 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $3 2d
Solana Up or Down - June 15, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Down 12¢ $3 2d
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 1¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 6¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $3 5d
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 3¢ $2 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $2 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET BUY Up 30¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET BUY Up 29¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET BUY Down 39¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $5 6d
BNB Up or Down - June 11, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $2 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1491 history records