trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | +2.4% | -7.4% | 60% | 40% | -9.9% |
| ≤30d | 9 | +12.0% | +1.3% | 67% | 44% | -9.8% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -20.2% | -27.8% | 50% | 29% | -12.5% |
| all | 14 | -20.2% | -27.8% | 50% | 29% | -12.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -27.8% | 29% | -12.5% |
| 10% | -34.7% | 21% | -20.9% |
| 15% | -41.0% | 14% | -28.5% |
| 20% | -46.8% | 7% | -35.5% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $3.0T by June 30? | No | 93¢ | 91¢ | $81 | $79 | −$2 (-2%) |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in June? | No | 94¢ | 94¢ | $39 | $39 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | 90¢ | 90¢ | $38 | $38 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026? | No | 86¢ | 86¢ | $23 | $23 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Jun 22 | $12 | +$2 | +20% |
| Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? | Jun 22 | $31 | −$9 | -31% |
| Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Jun 22 | $30 | +$7 | +25% |
| Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? | Jun 22 | $61 | −$3 | -4% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 22 | $63 | +$2 | +2% |
| Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? | Jun 03 | $9 | −$2 | -25% |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | Jun 03 | $2 | +$1 | +47% |
| Pistons vs. Cavaliers | Jun 03 | $1 | +$1 | +65% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | Jun 03 | $2 | $0 | +10% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the NBA Western Conference Finals? | May 11 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11? | May 11 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Delhi Capitals | May 11 | $2 | −$1 | -99% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 11 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| Devils vs. Blues | May 11 | $3 | $0 | +9% |