Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:52:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x7573…3b8b
crypto · 40 markets active 1h ago
5.0score
+$36 +21%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$36 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$36
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses30 / 10
Open positions0
Markets (closed)40 / 40
History coverage12d
Avg bet$4
Trades / day4.8
Drawdown10%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 40 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$0
7 days+$5
14 days+$36
30 days+$36
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 10 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $1 +$2 +145%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 09 $25 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 09 $10 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 09 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 08 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 07 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 06 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 06 $4 −$2 -50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 06 $5 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 05 $2 +$1 +55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 05 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 05 $2 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 04 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 04 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 03 $26 +$8 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 03 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 03 $2 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 02 $2 +$3 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 02 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 01 $5 +$3 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 01 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 01 $5 +$20 +379%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$36
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Up 22¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 82¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 78¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 43¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 14¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Down 73¢ $2 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET SELL Down 88¢ $3 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 89¢ $0 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET SELL Up 90¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Up 21¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $1 2d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $25 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $5 4d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $5 4d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-2.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -1.3% -10.7% 78% 35% -5.2%
≤30d 40 +7.5% -2.8% 75% 40% +9.7%
≤90d 40 +7.5% -2.8% 75% 40% +9.7%
all 40 +7.5% -2.8% 75% 40% +9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover4.8 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -2.8% 40% +9.7%
10% -12.1% 35% -0.8%
15% -20.6% 20% -10.4%
20% -28.4% 12% -19.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 83 history records