Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:14:33+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
75 0x7577…85a8 crypto 50 markets active 12h ago coverage 3d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$16 (-3%) realized −$16 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -25% what you keep after slip
Net edge-25%after slip
Net WR54%break-even
Win rate74%37W / 13L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$11per market
Trades / day45.6pace
Fees−$1est.
Kalshi-fit94%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 85% +$18
sports 10% −$33
other 5% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +54%
net ROI/market (all)-11.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 50 -2.0% -11.4% 74% 54% -14.0%
≤30d 50 -2.0% -11.4% 74% 54% -14.0%
≤90d 50 -2.0% -11.4% 74% 54% -14.0%
all 50 -2.0% -11.4% 74% 54% -14.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover45.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.4% 54% -14.0%
10% ← realistic here -19.8% 32% -22.2%
15% -27.6% 20% -29.8%
20% -34.7% 10% -36.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 13% · top 2 23% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -5% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
27% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -2% · $-wt -5% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +2% → late -6% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.1 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$9 · ×0.28 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.78 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$16
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)74%
Wins / losses37 / 13
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)50 / 50
History coverage3d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day45.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 50 Trades
no open positions (7 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score Jun 16 $8 −$8 -99%
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? Jun 16 $4 +$4 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 16 $4 −$4 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 16 $8 +$3 +41%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 16 $12 −$12 -95%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 16 $10 +$5 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Jun 16 $9 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 −$4 -84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +18%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score Jun 15 $6 +$4 +60%
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5 Jun 15 $30 −$30 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$3 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $5 −$3 -66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $21 +$1 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $10 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 15 $15 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $10 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 15 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 15 $31 −$23 -75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 15 $15 +$6 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 15 $15 −$15 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 15 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 15 $15 +$5 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 15 $36 +$12 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 15 $31 +$10 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$4 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$2 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$4 +21%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 14 $10 +$6 +60%
Will Japan win on 2026-06-14? Jun 14 $10 −$10 -98%
Will Scotland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 14 $10 +$6 +55%
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $6 −$6 -99%
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw? Jun 13 $5 −$3 -61%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Iraq vs. Norway: Both Teams to Score BUY No 60¢ $8 11h
France vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5 AND Will France win on 2026-06-16? BUY 49¢ $4 14h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 15¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET SELL Down 28¢ $4 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 20¢ $1 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $5 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $2 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 41¢ $10 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $5 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 19h
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 62¢ $6 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Down 60¢ $6 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET SELL Up 72¢ $6 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $5 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $9 19h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Up 65¢ $6 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 167 history records