Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T11:49:05+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
75 0x757c…d1d5 crypto 117 markets active 0h ago coverage 13d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage! high turnover
Total PnL +$6 (+1%) realized +$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -1% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -17% what you keep after slip
Net edge-17%after slip
Net WR10%break-even
Win rate85%99W / 18L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$5per market
Trades / day12.4pace
Kalshi-fit98%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$5
14 days−$0
30 days−$0
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$4
other 1% +$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +10%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 91 +0.7% -8.9% 93% 2% -8.6%
≤30d 117 -1.0% -10.4% 85% 10% -9.6%
≤90d 117 -1.0% -10.4% 85% 10% -9.6%
all 117 -1.0% -10.4% 85% 10% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover12.4 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.4% 10% -9.6%
10% -19.0% 5% -18.2%
15% -26.8% 3% -26.1%
20% -34.0% 2% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 16% · top 2 29% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
88% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -1% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -4% → late +2% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.1 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$0 vs −$2 · ×0.18 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.99 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

13d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)85%
Wins / losses99 / 18
Open positions0
Markets (closed)117 / 117
History coverage13d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day12.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 117 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 16 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 15 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 7m
Solana Up or Down - June 16, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 51m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $5 3h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 4h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 4h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 5h
XRP Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 5h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 7h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 10h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 11h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $5 12h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 14h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 16h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $5 20h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 24h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $5 25h
XRP Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 26h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 15, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $5 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $5 29h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 250 history records