Wallet analysis

2026-06-18T14:37:01+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
75 0x757f…0e76 crypto 897 markets active 0h ago coverage 21d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 20d only
✗ bot/MM pace (135 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$157 (-2%) realized −$157 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -19% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -38% what you keep after slip
Net edge-38%after slip
Net WR60%break-even
Win rate62%717W / 438L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$12per market
Trades / day135.2pace
Fees−$0est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,034
7 days−$996
14 days−$1,049
30 days−$1,134
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$5
sports 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (135 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +60%
net ROI/market (all)-26.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 536 -45.0% -50.2% 43% 41% -28.6%
≤30d 1155 -19.2% -26.9% 62% 60% -18.0%
≤90d 1155 -19.2% -26.9% 62% 60% -18.0%
all 1155 -19.2% -26.9% 62% 60% -18.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover135.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.9% 60% -18.0%
10% ← realistic here -33.9% 31% -25.8%
15% -40.3% 5% -33.0%
20% -46.2% 0% -39.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 0% · top 2 1% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -10% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
2% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -19% · $-wt -10% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +3% → late -41% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
2.8 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$3 vs −$7 · ×0.38 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.62 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

21d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$157
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)62%
Wins / losses717 / 438
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1155 / 897
History coverage21d ⚠
Avg bet$12
Trades / day135.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1155 Trades
no open positions (313 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$5 -172%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$2 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 18 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 18 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 18 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$4 -202%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 18 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 18 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET Jun 18 $5 −$5 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 22, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET Jun 18 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 18 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 18 $4 −$4 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $12 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $4 28m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $4 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $5 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 85¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 15¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET BUY Down 77¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $9 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $1 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $4 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $9 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $4 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records