trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤30d | 1 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| ≤90d | 4 | -100.0% | -100.0% | 0% | 0% | -100.0% |
| all | 11 | +311.8% | +272.6% | 27% | 27% | +53.2% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +272.6% | 27% | +53.2% |
| 10% | +236.9% | 27% | +38.6% |
| 15% | +204.4% | 27% | +25.2% |
| 20% | +174.5% | 27% | +12.9% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 16 | $26 | −$25 | -97% |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by April 30? | Apr 19 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in March? | Mar 30 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March? | Mar 29 | $301 | −$301 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on February 25? | Feb 25 | $30 | +$773 | +2578% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25? | Feb 25 | $40 | +$1,345 | +3364% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on February 25? | Feb 25 | $10 | −$10 | -100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 February 16-22? | Feb 19 | $397 | −$397 | -100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $66,000 and $68,000 on February 1 | Feb 15 | $55 | −$36 | -65% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $64,000 and $66,000 on February 1 | Feb 15 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on February 1 | Feb 15 | $25 | +$48 | +191% |