Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T00:08:27+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x7582…651c
crypto · 1097 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$136 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$134 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$21
Realized−$134
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses522 / 562
Est. fees paid−$17
Open positions13
Markets (closed)1084 / 1097
History coverage45d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day64.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 13 History 1084 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$13
7 days−$3
14 days−$22
30 days−$22
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Under 69¢ 97¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+42%)
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Indiana Fever 81¢ 76¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-7%)
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Spirit 57¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+75%)
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun Connecticut Sun 29¢ 24¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-14%)
Will Donald Trump sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31? No 56¢ 48¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-15%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Over 68¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+47%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 Under 55¢ 74¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+36%)
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs Team Liquid 88¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+14%)
FDA approves Unicycive's Oxylanthanum carbonate? Yes 72¢ 74¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 Under 82¢ 81¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-1%)
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces Las Vegas Aces 0¢ 59¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+0%)
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals Houston Astros 39¢ 30¢ $1 $1 −$0 (-22%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 Over 19¢ 3¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-84%)
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) Indiana Fever 57¢ 16¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-73%)
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-2.5) Toronto Blue Jays 29¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+245%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 Over 9¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-97%)
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 Under 29¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Over 42¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage ASTRAL 27¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 1 Winner Jun 14 $1 +$1 +79%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5 Jun 14 $1 +$1 +86%
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox Jun 14 $2 +$1 +48%
LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 - Game 2 Winner Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 14 $5 +$1 +14%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets Jun 14 $2 −$1 -53%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $6 +$3 +49%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau (BO5) - EMEA Masters P Jun 13 $2 +$4 +207%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $4 +$2 +47%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs Karmine Corp Blue - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Qatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $4 +$3 +62%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 4 Winner Jun 13 $1 $0 +20%
Modena: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Katarzyna Kawa Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
LoL: Team Heretics Academy vs Eintracht Spandau - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $0 $0 -100%
La Laguna Tenerife vs. Barcelona Jun 13 $5 −$4 -84%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Dino Prizmic vs Rinky Hijikata Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Iva Jovic Jun 13 $1 $0 +48%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Luciano Emanuel Ambrogi Jun 13 $1 +$2 +327%
LoL: Solary vs G2 NORD - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $1 +$1 +179%
Colorado Rockies vs. Athletics Jun 13 $3 $0 +16%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $2 $0 +11%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 13 $2 −$1 -26%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $3 −$1 -54%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 13 $1 +$4 +614%
Chicago Cubs vs. San Francisco Giants Jun 13 $1 −$1 -74%
Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 Jun 13 $1 +$1 +50%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1 $0 +14%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2 $0 +15%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $2 +$2 +81%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 12 $4 $0 +2%
Bratislava: Petr Brunclik vs Vitaliy Sachko Jun 12 $1 +$1 +50%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Monte - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 0.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +42%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire Jun 12 $5 −$2 -35%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $3 −$1 -17%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 60% −$118
sports 37% −$19
other 2% −$1
world 0% −$1
finance 0% $0
tech 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces BUY Las Vegas Aces 61¢ $1 0m
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Connecticut Sun 23¢ $1 0m
Haiti vs. Scotland: O/U 4.5 BUY Under 82¢ $1 6m
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Connecticut Sun 38¢ $1 15m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 6¢ $0 21m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 55¢ $1 28m
Houston Astros vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Houston Astros 39¢ $1 29m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Under 48¢ $3 36m
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 89¢ $1 46m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Over 31¢ $1 47m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 4.5 BUY Over 9¢ $0 48m
Spread: Indiana Fever (-10.5) BUY Indiana Fever 57¢ $1 52m
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 60¢ $1 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 73¢ $1 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 77¢ $1 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates SELL Pittsburgh Pirates 63¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 82¢ $4 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 17¢ $1 1h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 73¢ $1 1h
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY Detroit Tigers 15¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5 BUY Under 70¢ $1 1h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets BUY Atlanta Braves 90¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 57¢ $1 1h
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates BUY Pittsburgh Pirates 44¢ $1 1h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Spirit 63¢ $3 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 BUY Under 60¢ $1 1h
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5 BUY Over 68¢ $1 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun BUY Indiana Fever 78¢ $1 2h
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Spirit 26¢ $1 2h
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox BUY Boston Red Sox 62¢ $1 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-22.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 152 +0.5% -9.1% 51% 46% -10.5%
≤30d 535 +0.8% -8.8% 52% 38% -11.6%
≤90d 1084 -14.0% -22.2% 48% 31% -15.7%
all 1084 -14.0% -22.2% 48% 31% -15.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover64.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -22.2% 31% -15.7%
10% ← realistic here -29.6% 23% -23.7%
15% -36.4% 16% -31.1%
20% -42.7% 11% -37.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $20.95 · official $20.74 (match) · 3500 history records