Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:58:24+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

75
0x7584…62b3
sports · 3 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$78 -34%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$79 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP ⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$105
Realized−$79
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions2
Markets (closed)1 / 3
History coverage2d
Avg bet$77
Trades / day1.9
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit67%
Chart Positions 2 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$79
7 days−$79
14 days−$79
30 days−$79
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 81¢ 81¢ $70 $70 +$0 (+1%)
Spread: Germany (-2.5) Germany 68¢ 68¢ $35 $35 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election Jun 13 $124 −$79 -63%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
politics 54% −$79
other 31% $0
sports 15% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Germany (-2.5) BUY Germany 68¢ $35 1h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 81¢ $70 1h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election SELL Yes 6¢ $45 1h
Will Fujimori win the 2nd round of the 2026 Peru presidential election BUY Yes 14¢ $124 2d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-66.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -63.4% -66.9% 0% 0% -66.9%
≤30d 1 -63.4% -66.9% 0% 0% -66.9%
≤90d 1 -63.4% -66.9% 0% 0% -66.9%
all 1 -63.4% -66.9% 0% 0% -66.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover1.9 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -66.9% 0% -66.9%
10% -70.0% 0% -70.0%
15% -72.9% 0% -72.9%
20% -75.6% 0% -75.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $105.42 · official $105.43 (match) · 4 history records