Wallet analysis

2026-06-28T12:46:26+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
75 0x7586…a86c crypto 28 markets active 0h ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
✗ bot/MM pace (78 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ wins on margins thinner than slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL +$7 (+0%) realized +$7 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +107% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt +59% what you keep after slip
Net edge+59%after slip
Net WR18%break-even
Win rate71%20W / 8L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$67per market
Trades / day78.0pace
Kalshi-fit86%portable
Net worth$1now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 95% −$569
other 5% −$24
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (78 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +18%
net ROI/market (all)+86.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +106.6% +86.9% 71% 18% -30.7%
≤30d 28 +106.6% +86.9% 71% 18% -30.7%
≤90d 28 +106.6% +86.9% 71% 18% -30.7%
all 28 +106.6% +86.9% 71% 18% -30.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover78.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +86.9% 18% -30.7%
10% ← realistic here +69.1% 7% -37.3%
15% +52.7% 7% -43.4%
20% +37.8% 7% -48.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 15% · top 2 26% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -42% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
75% wins margin < slip most wins thinner than slippage → losses for you
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +107% · $-wt -42% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -29% → late +242% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$6 vs −$88 · ×0.06 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.16 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$1
Realized+$7
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)71%
Wins / losses20 / 8
Open positions0
Markets (closed)28 / 28
History coverage1d
Avg bet$67
Trades / day78.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit86%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 28 Trades
no open positions (5 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 28 $13 +$1 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 28 $19 +$2 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 28 $67 +$5 +8%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 28 $29 −$29 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 28 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 28 $101 +$9 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 28 $101 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 28 $101 −$95 -94%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET Jun 28 $27 +$2 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 28 $101 +$17 +17%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 28 $27 +$3 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 28 $105 +$9 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 28 $101 +$8 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 28 $101 +$8 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 28 $101 −$96 -95%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 28 $5 $0 +9%
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 28 $27 +$3 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 28 $101 −$96 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 28 $101 −$92 -92%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 28 $101 −$96 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 28 $101 +$9 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 28 $101 +$12 +12%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET Jun 28 $49 +$4 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET Jun 28 $32 +$3 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 28 $101 −$98 -98%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 28, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Jun 28 $27 +$2 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 28 $37 +$3 +8%
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 28 $10 +$1 +9%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 2m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $13 3m
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 4m
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 4m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $15 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $15 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $15 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $9 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $1 5m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $13 8m
XRP Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $19 8m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $67 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $3 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $15 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $10 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $15 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $6 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $35 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $15 18m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $101 26m
BNB Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $29 28m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET BUY Down 91¢ $101 28m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $109 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Up 4¢ $4 33m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 28, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $25 34m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.65 · official $0.00 (match) · 88 history records