trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 5 | -9.1% | -17.7% | 60% | 60% | -5.4% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -9.1% | -17.7% | 60% | 60% | -5.4% |
| ≤90d | 5 | -9.1% | -17.7% | 60% | 60% | -5.4% |
| all | 20 | +8.1% | -2.2% | 60% | 60% | -12.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -2.2% | 60% | -12.6% |
| 10% | -11.6% | 45% | -20.9% |
| 15% | -20.1% | 25% | -28.6% |
| 20% | -27.9% | 20% | -35.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Switzerland vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 1.5 | Over | 76¢ | 50¢ | $128 | $83 | −$45 (-35%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Czechia vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 | Jun 18 | $202 | −$77 | -38% |
| England vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5 | Jun 17 | $186 | +$20 | +11% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $10 | −$10 | -99% |
| Portugal vs. DR Congo: O/U 1.5 | Jun 17 | $154 | +$42 | +27% |
| Austria vs. Jordan: O/U 2.5 | Jun 17 | $99 | +$54 | +55% |
| LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO1) | Oct 15 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) | Oct 15 | $18 | +$14 | +74% |
| LoL: FlyQuest vs T1 (BO1) | Oct 15 | $15 | +$3 | +23% |
| LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5) | Oct 15 | $12 | +$3 | +27% |
| Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days? | Jan 20 | $96 | −$96 | -100% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | Jan 20 | $111 | −$15 | -13% |
| OpenSea token announcement in 2024? | Jan 01 | $94 | +$17 | +18% |
| Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | Nov 06 | $48 | +$47 | +97% |
| Will Lando Norris win the Brazilian Grand Prix? | Nov 05 | $72 | −$72 | -100% |
| Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2024? | Nov 03 | $24 | +$48 | +203% |
| Will Maia Sandu win the 2024 Moldova presidential election? | Nov 02 | $25 | −$1 | -5% |
| Ankalaev vs. Rakic | Oct 28 | $19 | +$5 | +28% |
| Will the New York Liberty win the 2024 WNBA Finals? | Oct 26 | $14 | +$5 | +39% |
| Will the New York Yankees win the American League? | Oct 20 | $12 | +$2 | +18% |
| Will Sebastião Melo win the 2024 Porto Alegre mayoral election? | Oct 15 | $12 | $0 | -1% |