Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:34:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
75 0x7598…49a9 crypto 39 markets active 6d ago coverage 1d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (110 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ only 1d of captured history — unreliable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$8 (-3%) realized −$8 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR41%break-even
Win rate69%27W / 12L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$6per market
Trades / day110.0pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 1d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$15
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (110 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 39 -7.2% -16.0% 69% 41% -15.5%
≤30d 39 -7.2% -16.0% 69% 41% -15.5%
≤90d 39 -7.2% -16.0% 69% 41% -15.5%
all 39 -7.2% -16.0% 69% 41% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover110.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.0% 41% -15.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.1% 5% -23.6%
15% -31.4% 0% -31.0%
20% -38.1% 0% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 17% · top 2 27% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
41% wins margin < slip thin win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -16% → late +1% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.6 add-ons/market adds to positions
Win / loss size
+$1 vs −$3 · ×0.24 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.55 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

1d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses27 / 12
Open positions0
Markets (closed)39 / 39
History coverage1d
Avg bet$6
Trades / day110.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 39 Trades
no open positions (3 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 10 $5 $0 +4%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +5%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +15%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +0%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +9%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +2%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 +3%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Jun 10 $6 −$4 -64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 10 $6 $0 +6%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 10 $20 −$12 -57%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 10 $22 +$3 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 10 $3 −$2 -52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 10 $13 +$1 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +18%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 10 $3 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 10 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 10 $3 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 10 $15 −$5 -29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$5 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 10 $20 −$1 -6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 10 $10 −$2 -24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 10 $10 +$2 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 10 $5 +$1 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET SELL Down 95¢ $5 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET BUY Down 90¢ $5 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET SELL Down 85¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $1 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 18¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $3 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $0 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 96¢ $3 6d
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 91¢ $0 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET SELL Down 89¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 6d
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET SELL Down 80¢ $4 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Up 83¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET SELL Down 24¢ $1 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET SELL Down 97¢ $3 6d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET BUY Down 94¢ $3 6d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 6d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 124 history records