trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 8 | +36.6% | +23.6% | 75% | 75% | +31.3% |
| ≤30d | 8 | +36.6% | +23.6% | 75% | 75% | +31.3% |
| ≤90d | 20 | -14.0% | -22.2% | 50% | 50% | -11.3% |
| all | 20 | -14.0% | -22.2% | 50% | 50% | -11.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -22.2% | 50% | -11.3% |
| 10% | -29.6% | 45% | -19.8% |
| 15% | -36.4% | 35% | -27.5% |
| 20% | -42.6% | 15% | -34.6% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Japan win on 2026-06-21? | Yes | 70¢ | 69¢ | $522 | $519 | −$3 (-1%) |
| Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Yes | 3¢ | 3¢ | $250 | $254 | +$4 (+1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ecuador vs. Curaçao end in a draw? | Jun 21 | $102 | +$210 | +206% |
| Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 21 | $50 | −$49 | -97% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $858 | +$373 | +43% |
| Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20? | Jun 20 | $405 | +$284 | +70% |
| Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $254 | +$153 | +60% |
| Will Türkiye vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 20 | $51 | −$11 | -22% |
| Will Brazil win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $351 | +$42 | +12% |
| Will Morocco win on 2026-06-19? | Jun 20 | $302 | +$68 | +23% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-10? | May 10 | $101 | +$49 | +49% |
| Spurs vs. Timberwolves | May 10 | $61 | −$60 | -99% |
| Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-10? | May 10 | $51 | −$50 | -98% |
| Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 10 | $41 | −$40 | -97% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 10 | $51 | −$13 | -26% |
| Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 02 | $51 | −$50 | -97% |
| Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 02 | $102 | −$100 | -98% |
| Lakers vs. Rockets | May 02 | $60 | +$25 | +42% |
| Golden Knights vs. Utah | May 02 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25? | Apr 25 | $60 | +$14 | +24% |
| Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League? | Apr 19 | $200 | +$78 | +39% |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30? | Apr 13 | $1,000 | −$1,000 | -100% |