trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 7 | +102.4% | +83.1% | 57% | 57% | +73.3% |
| ≤30d | 14 | +92.2% | +73.9% | 57% | 50% | +31.4% |
| ≤90d | 29 | +18.9% | +7.6% | 34% | 31% | -22.1% |
| all | 29 | +18.9% | +7.6% | 34% | 31% | -22.1% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | +7.6% | 31% | -22.1% |
| 10% | -2.7% | 28% | -29.5% |
| 15% | -12.1% | 24% | -36.3% |
| 20% | -20.7% | 24% | -42.6% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Belgium vs. Egypt end in a draw? | Jun 16 | $5 | +$15 | +344% |
| Will Saudi Arabia vs. Uruguay end in a draw? | Jun 15 | $5 | +$9 | +195% |
| Will Saudi Arabia win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $2 | −$1 | -61% |
| Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $22 | −$22 | -99% |
| Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15? | Jun 15 | $7 | −$5 | -65% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Jun 14 | $24 | +$56 | +231% |
| Knicks vs. Spurs | Jun 14 | $9 | +$16 | +172% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31? | Jun 02 | $5 | +$3 | +59% |
| Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30? | May 30 | $23 | −$23 | -98% |
| Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? | May 30 | $8 | $0 | -4% |
| Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? | May 30 | $29 | −$1 | -5% |
| Knicks vs. Cavaliers | May 26 | $7 | +$7 | +97% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | May 26 | $3 | +$17 | +525% |
| Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027? | May 22 | $5 | $0 | +2% |
| Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | May 14 | $4 | −$1 | -33% |
| Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31? | May 08 | $5 | −$4 | -97% |
| Trump out as President before GTA VI? | May 08 | $5 | $0 | -3% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 9, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET | Apr 09 | $4 | −$4 | -100% |
| Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 2.8% and 3 | Apr 09 | $4 | $0 | -4% |
| US forces enter Iran by April 30? | Apr 09 | $41 | −$13 | -31% |
| Any of the stolen KitKats recovered by April 5? | Apr 03 | $6 | −$1 | -20% |
| Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.4% and 3 | Apr 01 | $4 | −$1 | -35% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET | Apr 01 | $73 | −$48 | -66% |
| Any of the stolen paintings recovered by April 15? | Apr 01 | $6 | −$6 | -97% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March? | Mar 31 | $14 | +$4 | +31% |
| Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3 | Mar 31 | $34 | −$34 | -100% |
| Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March? | Mar 30 | $85 | +$15 | +17% |
| Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on | Mar 30 | $35 | −$35 | -100% |
| Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals? | Mar 29 | $7 | −$7 | -100% |